America in recession: what history shows
December 3, 2001
The United States officially entered an economic recession in March, the National Bureau of Economic Research announced last week. The six-member panel of economists, based in Cambridge, Mass., is the unofficial arbiter of when recessions (by definition, at least six months of negative growth) begin and end.
Many economists predict the current recession will be short and mild, though plenty of factors could change that. A March beginning means the period of economic expansion lasted exactly 10 years - a record by more than a year. A look at previous recessions and their durations:
Start of Duration
recession (in months)
Feb. 1945 9
Nov. 1948 11
July 1953 10
Aug. 1957 9
April 1960 10
Dec. 1969 11
Nov. 1973 16
Jan. 1980 6
July 1981 16
July 1990 9