Will industrial production growth trend outlast stimulus funding?

With the the stimulus now waning, it will be important to watch the trend in industrial production to see how sustained the growth is.

Today, the Federal Reserve released their monthly read of industrial production showing continued growth with total industrial production increasing 0.8% from March and 5.18% since April 2009.
While this report appears to argue favorably for a continued recovery, it's important to note that massive government stimulus played an important role in generating this trend.
With the the stimulus now waning, it will be important to watch the trend in industrial production to see how sustained the growth truly is.

“Final product” consumer durable goods declined 0.05% on a month-to-month basis while jumping some 11.84% above the level seen just one year ago.
It’s important to note that the home appliances, furniture and carpeting component of durable consumption showed its first year-over-year increase in 53 consecutive months increasing 0.62% compared to April 2009.
Construction supply production now shows the first year-over-year increase seen in 43 consecutive months increasing 2.91% while wood products increased 2.44% over the same period.
The motor vehicle and business vehicle components are indicating that the government sponsored bounce and residual effects provided by the "cash for clunkers" policy appears to have now possibly peaked out.
Finally, HVAC (heating ventilation and air conditioning) increased notably in jumping 4.25% on a year-over-year basis.

Add/view comments on this post.

------------------------------

The Christian Science Monitor has assembled a diverse group of the best economy-related bloggers out there. Our guest bloggers are not employed or directed by the Monitor and the views expressed are the bloggers' own, as is responsibility for the content of their blogs. To contact us about a blogger, click here. To add or view a comment on a guest blog, please go to the blogger's own site by clicking on the link above.