Tea Party insurgency marches into key states

But will Tea Party protest energy help or hobble the Republican Party? They're challenging some GOP candidates and could split the vote in those races.

Begun as a loosely affiliated groundswell of Constitution-waving protesters in tri-cornered hats, the Tea Party movement is now starting to rock the political establishment in key arenas.

The growing numbers of Americans coming out to the Tax Day Tea Party, the Fourth of July Tea Parties, and then the 9/12 Tea Party march on Washington are going back to their home districts and keeping up -- even intensifying -- the fight for smaller government and more transparency on spending and taxation.

In places like New York, Florida, California, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania, local, state, congressional, and gubernatorial seats are suddenly being tugged to-and-fro by the new and unruly political force.

The upshot?

The street energy is welcome for an otherwise moribund Republican party looking for new moorings amid a tumultuous electorate.

The downside is that early examples shows that, in the short run, Tea Party-sponsored candidates could make it more difficult for Republicans as they -- Ross Perot-like -- split races as they target both “tax and spend” Democrats and those they like to call RINOs, or “Republicans-in-name-only.”

“In the Republican primaries, especially, the Tea Party movement could be a very significant force” -- and not always in the Republicans' favor -- says Charles Franklin, a political science professor at the University of Wisconsin, in Madison.

In New York’s 23rd congressional district, Democrats may ultimately thank Tea Party conservatives for backing businessman Doug Hoffman, a Conservative Party candidate, in a three-way congressional race in November -- the sole national race this year.

Mr. Hoffman’s supporters have pulled voters away from the Republican moderate, Dede Scozzafava, leaving the Democrat, Bill Hoffman, with the lead, according to polls. The “NY-23” battle, as it’s called, is already causing rifts in the Republican party, with Tea Party activists booing former House Speaker Newt Gingrich for backing Scozzafava.

In Florida, former Republican House Speaker Marco Rubio is courting Tea Party activists in a primary challenge to Gov. Charlie Crist, whom Tea Partiers see as a “Judas” for supporting the $787 billion stimulus package signed into law by President Obama in February.

In a perhaps unwelcome strike for Republicans near the President’s home turf, Tea Party activists have turned against the bid by Illinois Rep. Mark Kirk, a Republican, to seek Obama’s former Senate seat, citing Mr. Kirk’s support for a climate change bill.

Other Tea Party targets for scorn include Senate-seekers such as Republican up-and-comer Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire, Rep. Mike Castle in Delaware, and former Rep. Rob Simmons in Connecticut. Tea Party activists also could play a role in Republican primary matchups in Texas (Rick Perry versus Kay Bailey Hutchinson) and in Pennsylvania (Pat Toomey versus Arlen Specter).

“The American people are finally standing up and saying no to political correctness and no to the hijacking of our freedoms, liberty and our culture,” says Tea Party activist Lloyd Marcus. “It’s not about Republican or Democrat any more. It’s about character and principle.”

In Washington, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and House Minority Leader John Boehner have both egged on the Tea Party activists, trying to “align the GOP with the protesters’ frustrations,” says the Wall Street Journal.

“It’s really interesting to see how the Republican party and its various entities try to sort of harness [the Tea Party movement],” says Andrew Moylan, government affairs manager at the National Taxpayers Union, which helped organize the 9/12 Tea Party protests in Washington. “The fact is it’s really grown and become an incredible force that we’re only now beginning to see the practical effects of.”

To be sure, some, moderate Republicans have started calling out their Tea Party wing (see Monitor writer Brad Knickerbocker’s take here) -- epitomized by Fox News’ Glenn Beck and former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin -- as ultimately deleterious to the party’s chances to grab hold of key independent voters in swing states.

Risking the alienation of divided partisans is commonplace, history shows, when a particular party has suffered heavy defeat

“The people that get knocked off are your moderates and you become smaller and more ideologically extreme,” says Peter Beinart, a senior fellow at the liberal New America Foundation and a Daily Beast columnist. “The Republicans are still early on in that process. They’re in a ditch, but they haven’t stopped digging yet.”

Pollsters say many Democratic lawmakers -- especially in blue states where Democrats made dramatic inroads last year -- are likely to be vulnerable in next year’s elections because of the growing deficit, unemployment, healthcare votes, and other hot-button issues facing the country.

Yet even six months ago, few political observers could have intuited the prairie fire speed and ferocity of the Tea Party movement -- or its already considerable impact on the national political debate and looming political races.

The 9/12 event in Washington, in particular, “was a landmark event,” says Mr. Moylan at the NTU.

Like the 1963 civil rights march on Washington, he says, “Here was this outgrowth of frustration about policies in the country and problems that were going on, a huge outpouring of people, and then they translated it into action. That’s going to be the measure of the Tea Party movement: How it can translate [protests] into action.”

-----

Follow us on Twitter.