In market value, Tesla now rivals the 'Big Three' US automakers

The wisdom of the market appears to believe that Tesla is now a competitor to General Motors and Ford, and well ahead of Fiat Chrysler.

|
Martin Meissner/AP
Visitors watch a Tesla 90D electric car at the Motor Show 2016 in Essen, Germany, Nov. 25, 2016.

Tesla Motors has spent more than 10 years beating the odds for startup automakers.

Most new, independent makers barely survive long enough to produce a handful of vehicles, let alone sell more than 100,000 and garner praise from both customers and the media—as the electric-car startup has done.

Now the Silicon Valley automaker can claim another distinction no other company in its position has likely ever won.

In market value, Tesla Motors now rivals the Detroit Three US automakers.

That news was reported by the Bloomberg news service last week, which noted that the sudden increase in Tesla stock value has some Wall Street analysts concerned.

After an $18 billion stock run, Tesla's market capitalization stood at $39.8 billion at the time of publication.

That's compared to $49.5 billion for Ford, $55.3 billion for General Motors ... and $18.8 billion for Fiat Chrysler Automobiles.

Green Car Reports does not cover financial analysis or stock trading, so these statistics are reported based purely on stock prices at the opening of the global markets this morning.

Tesla stock has risen 48 percent in three months, bringing it to the current valuation, which has led some financial analysts to question whether the stock can retain its value long term.

The median forecasts of Tesla stock prices over the next 12 months from 14 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was $48 lower than Tesla's stock price last week.

According to the news service, that's the most pessimistic prediction from Wall Street since Tesla became a publicly-traded company seven years ago.

That aggregate view may not be surprising when comparing a company that delivered around 80,000 cars last year to three that regularly sell several million, and have existed in various forms for more than a century.

The outsize valuation is often a source of bafflement to industry analysts, who generally expect companies valued in the billions for years at a time to show some sign of profits.

But much of the faith in Tesla is based not on what the company has done, but what its more optimistic supporters believe it will do in the future.

Tesla said last week that it would deliver its first Model 3 electric cars in July, and ramp up production to deliveries of 5,000 cars a week by the end of this year.

The mass-market $35,000, 215-mile Model 3 is vital to meeting CEO Elon Musk's goal of selling 500,000 electric cars annually by next year.

Tesla has missed every one of its initial new-car launch deadlines so far, with quality glitches in each of the three models it's launched thus far.

It's fair to say that skepticism is rife that the company can go from a pace of 80,000 cars a year to half a million in just two years.

Nonetheless, the wisdom of the market appears to believe that Tesla is now a competitor for General Motors and Ford ... and well ahead of Fiat Chrysler, which faces numerous challenges of its own.

This story originally appeared on GreenCarReports.

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.
Real news can be honest, hopeful, credible, constructive.
What is the Monitor difference? Tackling the tough headlines – with humanity. Listening to sources – with respect. Seeing the story that others are missing by reporting what so often gets overlooked: the values that connect us. That’s Monitor reporting – news that changes how you see the world.

Dear Reader,

About a year ago, I happened upon this statement about the Monitor in the Harvard Business Review – under the charming heading of “do things that don’t interest you”:

“Many things that end up” being meaningful, writes social scientist Joseph Grenny, “have come from conference workshops, articles, or online videos that began as a chore and ended with an insight. My work in Kenya, for example, was heavily influenced by a Christian Science Monitor article I had forced myself to read 10 years earlier. Sometimes, we call things ‘boring’ simply because they lie outside the box we are currently in.”

If you were to come up with a punchline to a joke about the Monitor, that would probably be it. We’re seen as being global, fair, insightful, and perhaps a bit too earnest. We’re the bran muffin of journalism.

But you know what? We change lives. And I’m going to argue that we change lives precisely because we force open that too-small box that most human beings think they live in.

The Monitor is a peculiar little publication that’s hard for the world to figure out. We’re run by a church, but we’re not only for church members and we’re not about converting people. We’re known as being fair even as the world becomes as polarized as at any time since the newspaper’s founding in 1908.

We have a mission beyond circulation, we want to bridge divides. We’re about kicking down the door of thought everywhere and saying, “You are bigger and more capable than you realize. And we can prove it.”

If you’re looking for bran muffin journalism, you can subscribe to the Monitor for $15. You’ll get the Monitor Weekly magazine, the Monitor Daily email, and unlimited access to CSMonitor.com.

QR Code to In market value, Tesla now rivals the 'Big Three' US automakers
Read this article in
https://www.csmonitor.com/Business/In-Gear/2017/0228/In-market-value-Tesla-now-rivals-the-Big-Three-US-automakers
QR Code to Subscription page
Start your subscription today
https://www.csmonitor.com/subscribe