2024
August
13
Tuesday

Monitor Daily Podcast

August 13, 2024
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TODAY’S INTRO

Making connections

Reporters tackle plenty of tough stories daily, striving to bring better understanding to complex and often weighty issues. Today’s stories on artificial intelligence deepfakes and urban tent encampments are just two examples. But there are also moments when a casual tip or simple serendipity reveals a place that brings connection, that gives our world more breadth by making it a little bit smaller.

Ann Scott Tyson shares such a moment in Chengdu, China, when strangers shifted into friends, and the tyranny of the clock melted away. It, too, helps us understand our world just a little bit better.

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Iran hacking Trump? AI deepfakes? Cyber side of 2024 election heats up.

Recent days have seen false allegations of AI meddling, actual AI meddling, and reports of old-style hacking all involving the U.S. election campaign. Yet so far, this election’s cyberchaos may be less impactful than experts worried.

Elizabeth Frantz/Reuters
Former President Donald Trump claimed that the Kamala Harris campaign used AI to fake her rally size. This Reuters photo shows Air Force Two, as supporters of Vice President Harris rally at Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport in Romulus, Michigan, Aug. 7, 2024.
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Everybody knew artificial intelligence would play a role in this year’s election, but not quite this way.

On Sunday, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump falsely claimed that Democratic opponent Kamala Harris had used AI tools to fabricate the size of crowds at her rallies.

Whether it’s accusations of altering videos when they can be so easily disproved or surprise findings that AI-aided fake political news is having only mixed success, 2024 is not turning out the way cybersecurity specialists expected. AI influence campaigns were supposed to be smarter and subtler than what has happened so far in elections stretching from Indonesia to the United States.

Cybermeddlers are still making trouble. Yet they appear to be relying on traditional tactics more than on AI. In the latest example, Iranian hackers may have stolen information from the Trump campaign.

This week’s false claim by Mr. Trump and its amplification on social media highlight what some cybersecurity experts have long said: Although the use of AI deep fakes is growing, the best way to combat malign cyberinfluence in elections is to clamp down on its distribution.

Says Oren Etzioni, founder of TrueMedia.org, “It’s not the number of fakes [that matters]; it’s their impact.”

Iran hacking Trump? AI deepfakes? Cyber side of 2024 election heats up.

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Everybody knew artificial intelligence would play a role in this year’s election, but not quite this way.

On Sunday, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump falsely claimed that Democratic opponent Kamala Harris had used AI tools to fabricate the size of crowds at her rallies. Media outlets, including the local Fox TV affiliate that live-streamed a large Detroit airport event, debunked the former president’s social media post.

Whether it is candidates accusing opponents of altering videos when it can be so easily disproved or surprise findings that AI-aided fake political news is having only mixed success, 2024 is not turning out the way cybersecurity specialists expected. AI influence campaigns were supposed to be smarter and more subtle than what has happened so far in elections stretching from Indonesia to the United States.

Cyber meddlers are still making trouble. Yet they appear to be relying on traditional tactics more than on AI. In the latest example, Iranian hackers may have stolen information from the Trump campaign.

This week’s false claim about Harris rally attendance and its amplification on social media highlight what some cybersecurity experts have long said: Although the use of AI deepfakes is growing, the best way to combat malign cyber influence in elections is to clamp down on its distribution.

“The one thing I want to fix? It’s the problem of the last 20 years: social media,” says Hany Farid, a professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and pioneer in digital forensics and image analysis. “If I could create deepfakes of Biden and Trump and all I could do was mail it to my five friends, that’s really different than if I can cover Twitter and YouTube and TikTok with it.” 

Two weeks ago, for example, tech billionaire Elon Musk grabbed headlines after he shared a video on his social media platform that used an AI voice-cloning tool to mimic the voice of Vice President Harris – saying things she hasn’t really said. He later said he assumed readers knew it was a parody.

“It’s not the number of fakes [that matters]; it’s their impact,” says Oren Etzioni, founder of TrueMedia.org. “One fake can have a major impact if it’s propagated widely via social media and people believe in it.” His nonprofit is offering media outlets and others a tool to spot deepfakes quickly.

While using AI can make creating fictional material much easier and quicker, there’s no guarantee it will have its intended effect.

Petr David Josek/AP
Fireworks explode during the 2024 Summer Olympics closing ceremony at the Stade de France, Aug. 12, 2024, in Saint-Denis, France. Pro-Russian propagandists tried to denigrate the games through stunts that included AI to recreate the voice of actor Tom Cruise. The real Mr. Cruise rappelled into the ceremony to a cheering crowd.

For instance, a report in April by the Microsoft Threat Analysis Center (MTAC) found that a Russian-influenced operation called Storm-1679 repeatedly used generative AI to try to undermine the Paris Olympics, but it failed. In an update Friday, MTAC identified a Chinese group that incorporated the technology, “but with limited to no impact.”

OpenAI, the company behind the popular chatbot ChatGPT, reached a similar conclusion in a report in May. It found that although influencers linked to Russia, China, and Iran used its tools to generate articles in various languages, create names and bios for social media accounts, and debug computer code, among other activities, they had not “meaningfully increased audience engagement or reach.”

These failures may explain why foreign influencers have returned to more tried-and-true techniques. “We’ve seen nearly all actors seek to incorporate AI into their content in their operations, but more recently, many actors have pivoted back to techniques that have proven effective in the past,” according to the MTAC report released Friday.

Consider Mr. Trump's allegation this past weekend that Iranian hackers, who may have been conducting a traditional cyberattack known as spear-phishing, had stolen internal documents from his campaign. He was apparently referring to Friday’s MTAC report, which singled out an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps unit that recently used a compromised account of a former political adviser to email “a high-ranking official of a presidential campaign.”

The email included a fake forwarding address with a link to a site controlled by the unit, according to the report. In July, the political news website Politico began receiving internal Trump campaign documents from an anonymous source, including a 271-page dossier of publicly available information on Ohio Sen. JD Vance, the GOP vice-presidential nominee.

Now the FBI is investigating an alleged Iranian attack on the Democratic presidential campaign as well as the one on the GOP.

Jim Urquhart/Reuters
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump attends a campaign rally in Bozeman, Montana, August 9, 2024. This week's false claim by the former U.S. President spread quickly, highlighting the notion that the best way to combat cyber fraud is to clamp down on its distribution.

“Over the past several months, we have seen the emergence of significant influence activity by Iranian actors,” the MTAC report says.

While social media poses a bigger problem,  the number of AI political deepfakes continues to increase around the world, especially during campaign seasons.

“India, Pakistan, Taiwan, Indonesia, Mexico … in each of these elections, every single one, we’ve seen deepfakes, and they’ve become increasingly persuasive,” says Mr. Etzioni of TrueMedia.org. 

In India this spring, police arrested people from two opposition parties after a video falsely showed the home secretary saying that the government would end an affirmative-action jobs program for disadvantaged castes.

Deepfakes aren’t always malign. In Pakistan, supporters of an opposition party used deepfakes of their jailed leader, with his permission, to appeal to voters, who gave the party a plurality. It was a historic outcome, even though the party backed by the military eventually formed a coalition government with another opposition party.

Here in the United States, the motives have also been mixed. In January, before the New Hampshire primary, a political consultant paid for a deep fake of President Joe Biden discouraging voters from going to the polls. The consultant, a Democrat, claimed he did it to alert his party to the dangers of AI. Nevertheless, the Federal Communications Commission has since proposed fining him $6 million, and New Hampshire has indicted him on 32 counts related to election interference.

Elizabeth Frantz/Reuters
A deepfake video of U.S. President Joe Biden, posted on X, appeared to show him cursing his critics after he announced he would not seek reelection from the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, July 24, 2024.

Last month, a deepfake appeared to show Mr. Biden swearing at viewers during his televised speech ending his reelection campaign. The video went viral on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter). 

One reason for spreading such content is to damage a candidate’s reputation. Another more subtle aim is “polarizing the already divided segments of the society,” says Siwei Lyu, co-director of the Center for Information Integrity at the University at Buffalo.

Increasing this divisiveness often appears to be the aim of influence campaigns by foreign nations. In this election cycle, “we expect Iranian actors will employ cyberattacks against institutions and candidates while simultaneously intensifying their efforts to amplify existing divisive issues within the U.S., like racial tensions, economic disparities, and gender-related issues,” MTAC said in its report.

Companies and governments are beginning to respond to such threats.

At a Munich conference in February, Google, Meta, OpenAI, X, and 16 other large tech companies committed to the Tech Accord to Combat Deceptive Use of AI in 2024 Elections. Among other points, the accord requires companies to detect and address such content on their platforms. In May, OpenAI announced it had closed the accounts of the Russian, Chinese, and Iranian influencers it had detected. 

While democracy advocates applauded the move, many say industry self-regulation isn’t enough. The European Commission actively investigates potential failures of platforms like Facebook and Instagram.  

Mr. Farid at Berkeley sees a big change from 20 years ago.

“Now there is an awareness that ... the government does have to step in,” he says.  

In the U.S. the magnitude of the shift is an open question. In June, the U.S. Supreme Court declined to rule on whether the White House and federal agencies can push social media companies to remove content the federal government deems misinformation. The Justices said the plaintiffs lacked standing to bring the case.

The result: Although some federal oversight on misinformation may continue for now, debate over whether this violates constitutional free-speech protections is unsettled.

Today’s news briefs

• Election security conviction: Former Colorado clerk Tina Peters, the first local election official to be charged with a security breach after the 2020 election, has been found guilty by a jury on most charges.
• Abortion on the ballot: Voters in Arizona and Missouri will join Colorado, Florida, Maryland, Nevada, and South Dakota to decide in November whether to add the right to an abortion to their respective state constitutions.
• Greek fires: Firefighters in Greece are battling hundreds of scattered fires, hoping to end the major wildfire that burned into the northern suburbs of Athens, triggering evacuations and leaving at least one person dead. 
• Houthi rebels storm U.N. facility: The rebels forced Yemeni United Nations workers to hand over belongings, including documents, furniture, and vehicles. 
• Trump returns to X: Former President Donald Trump recounted his assassination attempt and promised the largest deportation in U.S. history in a conversation with the social media platform’s owner, Elon Musk.

Read these news briefs.

After Supreme Court ruling, California strengthens homeless camp enforcement

California, which has America’s largest homeless population, is taking a harder tack on enforcement – but some cities are pairing that with more support.

Gabrielle Lurie/San Francisco Chronicle/AP
With new authority to clear homeless camps, cities like San Francisco are doing so, while others are focusing on improving social services. A city employee dismantles a tent in San Francisco, July 30, 2024.
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California, where a third of America’s homeless people now live, is trying to find its footing after the Supreme Court this summer gave localities more power to enforce anti-camping rules.

The high court’s ruling allows local governments to penalize people for sleeping and camping outdoors – even if there is no place to shelter them. 

With that new authority, cities like San Francisco are taking a more “aggressive” approach, keeping in step with Gov. Gavin Newsom’s recent “no more excuses” executive order that directs state agencies to remove encampments on state property. He warned last week that he would direct money away from counties without “demonstrable results” by year’s end. 

The governor may be moving fast. But some jurisdictions are balking. The Board of Supervisors for Los Angeles County, for example, voted recently to reject fining or arresting people for sleeping in public spaces.

Instead, some localities are striving to find “the humane way and the effective way” to address homelessness in the wake of the Supreme Court decision, says Michael Webb, the point person for Redondo Beach, which has halved its homeless population since 2019.

“Everyone is in a ‘figure out where we are’ mode,” says Mr. Webb.

After Supreme Court ruling, California strengthens homeless camp enforcement

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California, the epicenter of homelessness in the United States, is trying to find its footing after the Supreme Court this summer gave localities more power to enforce anti-camping rules.

The court’s ruling upholding the enforcement measures of the city of Grants Pass, Oregon, allows local governments to penalize people for sleeping and camping outdoors – even if there is no place to shelter them. 

With that new authority, cities like San Francisco are taking a more “aggressive” approach, as Mayor London Breed puts it. Police and street cleaners are instructed to prevent tents from popping back up after encampments are cleared; outreach workers must first offer people experiencing homelessness transportation out of town as city shelters near capacity.

Mayor Breed is in step with California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s July 25 “no more excuses” executive order that directs state agencies to develop guidelines and move urgently toward removing encampments on state property. The order encourages local city and county governments to take similar action. While he can’t force local compliance, he warned last week that he would direct money away from counties if he did not see “demonstrable results” by year’s end. About a third of the nation’s homeless people live in California.

The governor may be moving fast, but some jurisdictions are balking. The Board of Supervisors for vast Los Angeles County, for example, the most populous county in the nation, where 75,000 people are homeless, voted recently to reject fining or arresting people for sitting, sleeping, or lying in public spaces, as the Supreme Court ruling now allows it to do.

Damian Dovarganes/AP
A commuter drives past a homeless camp by Interstate 105, July 26, 2024, in Los Angeles. After the Supreme Court ruled that cities could enforce bans on sleeping outside in public spaces, California Gov. Gavin Newsom directed state and local officials "to move urgently'' to address homeless encampments.

Instead, the county board affirmed its “care first” approach, in which outreach workers encourage people to come indoors, get supportive services, and ultimately move to permanent housing. For the first time in years, the number of people living on the streets in the region declined this year – dropping 5.1% in the county overall, and 10.4% in Los Angeles.

One particular success in LA County is the coastal community of Redondo Beach, which since 2019 has halved its homeless population. That has come through innovations like individual tiny shelters, restricted camping hours, and a homeless court that convenes outdoors, according to Michael Webb, the city attorney and point person on homelessness. 

Localities are trying to find “the humane way and the effective way” to address homelessness in the wake of the Supreme Court decision, he adds.

“Everyone is in a ‘figure out where we are’ mode,” says Mr. Webb. 

Stronger enforcement a “needed tool”

Even so, he supports the Supreme Court ruling and the governor’s executive order because stronger enforcement is a “needed tool” to keep people from sleeping or camping in public spaces, especially if they refuse shelter and services or have other housing options, he says. But “it would be a mistake if [enforcement] is used as a first resort.”

That would result in shifting, not solving, the problem, he explains. One city’s tougher measures can drive homeless people to a neighboring town with weaker enforcement. That’s why Mr. Webb put forward a “good neighbor pledge” – to be adopted by cities in the region – that offers shelter and services as a core strategy, while promising not to push those who need shelter to another town.

“Generally, I’ve heard nothing but positive” comments, he says, “because everyone’s worried about being on the receiving end” of the homeless population shift.

Francine Kiefer/The Christian Science Monitor
A housing and social services navigation center for homeless people is under construction in Palm Springs, California, Aug. 1, 2024. The center includes 80 units of modular, transitional housing for individuals and families.

recent study of three homeless hot spots in Los Angeles found that in places with encampment clearing, the homeless population declined – but only for two or three months.

“The people come back, [though] they might not have tents anymore,” says Sarah Hunter, director of the Rand Center on Housing and Homelessness, which conducted the study.

While Governor Newsom stressed the urgency behind encampment cleanup, he also said it needed to include “supporting and assisting the individuals.” The order calls for state agencies, such as parks, to adopt guidelines consistent with those of the state’s Department of Transportation, which has cleared more than 11,000 encampments from underpasses and other areas in the last three years. The guidelines must include advance notice of a cleanup, contact with homeless service providers, and storage of people’s belongings. 

Coordinating moving and services

The state is providing billions of dollars for homeless services, housing, and encampment clearing. But Dr. Hunter says the governor is putting the cart before the horse, as not all of the resources have come online yet. 

Meanwhile, politics play a “pretty substantial role,” she says, given the governor’s role on the national stage and Mayor Breed’s reelection bid. In addition, the Republican Party is using Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris of California as a punching bag for failed liberal policies.

In Palm Springs, which last month passed an ordinance to prevent encampments and sleeping in public places, police Chief Andy Mills is grateful for both the Supreme Court ruling and the governor’s executive order.

Francine Kiefer/The Christian Science Monitor
Police Chief Andy Mills stands at the site of a cleared encampment of tents along Gene Autry Trail in Palm Springs, California, Aug. 1, 2024. At one point, the area pictured behind him had about 70 tents in it.

“The state has finally come to the realization that just housing alone is not going to work,” he says. “There has to be some enforcement also.”

When Chief Mills came to Palm Springs three years ago, he found that the top concern was not burglaries, traffic, or shootings. It was, by far, homelessness. He and his team focused on it with the relentlessness of the desert sun – taking a detailed census of homeless people; connecting them with shelter, services, family, and other locations; and clearing encampments by using existing laws against trespassing and starting fires. 

Of the roughly 350 homeless people living year-round in Palm Springs in 2022, only about 100 “recalcitrant” people remain, according to city police. Police now have legal authority to tell people, “You cannot lie in the middle of the sidewalk in the middle of the day,” says Chief Mills. 

Like Mr. Webb of Redondo Beach, the police chief says the high court has given him “one more piece of leverage” to move homeless people who refuse housing and services.

A new $40 million homeless navigation center

The city’s new ordinance won’t go into effect until a new $40 million housing and social services navigation center is completed for homeless people, probably in September. It offers 80 units of modular, transitional housing for individuals and families, and includes supportive services, a play area, green space, and a dog park.

Police describe their approach as “compassion first.” But there are also consequences.

If people violate the new ordinance, they have three options, says Chief Mills: the new navigation center (if there is space), another location (preferably their hometown or with family), or jail – at the police officer’s discretion.

“We are not solving homelessness,” says the police chief. “But people have to understand they’re full-grown adults like you and I. They need to be held accountable for their impact on our community.”

Francine Kiefer/The Christian Science Monitor
Donna Jones, a self-described "trust fund baby" who is now homeless, sits behind the Palm Springs police station Aug. 1, 2024. "I'd rather sleep under the stars" than stay at the city's new navigation center, she says.

Donna Jones, a homeless woman sitting on a sidewalk near a cooling shelter with access to services, has no interest in the new navigation center – neither its large room with 50 beds that opened this spring, nor the individual units coming online. She says that she feels unsafe in group shelters. Small individual units strike her as “a little jail.” 

“I’d rather sleep under the stars,” with occasional rejuvenating visits to Motel 6, she says. A self-described “trust fund baby” whose downfall was gambling, Ms. Jones has heard nothing of the Supreme Court ruling, governor’s executive order, or new city ordinance.

“I don’t think that’s right,” she says, when told about the court’s decision and the possibility of arrest. She perks up at the news that Los Angeles, her hometown, is not going to penalize people for sleeping outside. She wonders, How can anyone tell her where to live?

Trump calls for mass deportations. How would that work?

The Republican Party has sought to capitalize on voter concerns over record-high illegal immigration during the Biden years. Here we look at the feasibility of a pillar of Donald Trump’s plan for addressing that influx and disincentivizing such crossings.

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Illegal immigration is a major campaign issue for Donald Trump. 

In 2015 during his first presidential campaign, Mr. Trump said he planned to deport 11 million people unauthorized to be in the United States. He downsized that scope to 2 million to 3 million once elected the following year. That’s closer to the level of deportations, along with pandemic-era expulsions, he oversaw in office.

In its 2024 platform, the Republican Party pledges to carry out what Mr. Trump calls “the largest deportation operation in American history.”

“Even larger than that of President Dwight D. Eisenhower,” Mr. Trump said at the party convention last month, recalling a controversial mass deportation campaign of Mexicans in the 1950s. 

Likely lawsuits against such plans may temper any rollout. Immigration experts cite logistical and legal hurdles to rounding up and expelling many people here without permission. Currently, Immigration and Customs Enforcement has up to 41,500 detention beds and around 6,000 Enforcement and Removal Operations officers – compared with millions of unauthorized immigrants in the country.

Americans, meanwhile, are politically split on whether to deport all unauthorized immigrants, a group estimated at more than 11 million. Most Republicans – 84% – favor this measure, reports a June Gallup poll. That support drops to 41% for independents and 22% for Democrats.

Trump calls for mass deportations. How would that work?

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Brian Snyder/Reuters
Delegates holds "Mass deportation now!" signs on Day 3 of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee July 17, 2024.

Illegal immigration is a major campaign issue for Donald Trump – and has become part of his survival story. As he turned his head to view a related chart at a July 13 rally, a bullet meant to assassinate him only wounded his ear.

In 2015 during his first presidential campaign, Mr. Trump said he planned to deport 11 million people unauthorized to be in the United States. He downsized that scope to 2 million to 3 million once elected the following year. That’s closer to the level of deportations, along with pandemic-era expulsions, he oversaw as president.

When the number of unauthorized migrant encounters spiked after Mr. Trump left office, Republicans urged President Joe Biden to take executive action to curb the influx, rather than wait for Congress to pass a border bill. They pointed to how the Trump administration used executive actions to rein in the release of unauthorized immigrants into the country, and they expect the same tack if he’s voted in again. That vision includes what Mr. Trump – and the Republican Party platform – calls “the largest deportation operation in American history.”

“Even larger than that of President Dwight D. Eisenhower,” former President Trump said at the party convention last month, recalling a controversial mass deportation campaign of Mexicans in the 1950s. During the event, supporters waved “Mass deportation now!” signs. Immigrant advocates, meanwhile, decry those plans, raising family separation and due process concerns.

The Democratic Party nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, has not emphasized immigration nearly as much on the campaign trail so far. But in Arizona last week, Ms. Harris called for “comprehensive [immigration] reform that includes strong border security and an earned pathway to citizenship.” Republicans call her the Biden administration’s “border czar,” though supporters say her assignment had a narrower purview.

Conservative critics also link her to record-high levels of encounters with Border Patrol agents at the U.S. southern border during the Biden-Harris administration – more than triple the overall encounters under Mr. Trump. Those figures tracked by the Border Patrol have dropped to their lowest point since President Biden took office, after he took executive action in June to limit asylum claims. 

Americans, meanwhile, are politically split on whether to deport all unauthorized immigrants, a group estimated at more than 11 million. Most Republicans – 84% – favor this measure, reports a June Gallup poll. That support drops to 41% for independents and 22% for Democrats. 

What has Mr. Trump said about mass deportation this election? 

While the Republican presidential nominee’s exact plans for mass deportations are vague, they’re a frequent talking point, which he repeated Monday in a conversation with Elon Musk.   

In an extensive April interview with Time magazine, Mr. Trump said he had “no choice” but to start mass deportations, if elected, due to the number of migrants who have entered unlawfully since he left office. When pressed for plan details, he said he’d work with the National Guard and local law enforcement, and “start with the criminals that are coming in.” 

Delcia Lopez/AP/File
A member of the National Guard checks on his colleague near the Hidalgo International Bridge in Hidalgo, Texas, April 19, 2011.

Mr. Trump’s campaign website highlights a plan for him to use National Guard and local law enforcement in “cooperative states” to “assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals.” But in the interview, he left open the possibility of using other branches of the U.S. military “if necessary.”

Recent presidents, including George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Mr. Trump, and Mr. Biden, have deployed National Guard troops to the U.S. southern border in support roles. However, “a number of legal considerations may arise” if the president directs the military to enforce immigration law, according to a 2023 Congressional Research Service report. 

Mr. Trump has also pledged to “stop the outrageous abuse of parole authority” under the current White House, which has permitted hundreds of thousands of immigrants in recent years to live and work temporarily in the U.S. 

How feasible are Mr. Trump’s deportation plans? 

Immigration experts cite not just logistical but also legal hurdles to rounding up and expelling many people in the U.S. without permission.

Lawsuits against such plans are likely and may temper any rollout. A conservative Supreme Court justice underscored immigrants’ right to due process back in 1993. The Fifth Amendment “entitles aliens to due process of law in deportation proceedings,” wrote Justice Antonin Scalia in Reno v. Flores.

The U.S. could expand deportations with three groups of people that are already deportable, says John Fabbricatore, former field office director for Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s (ICE) Enforcement and Removal Operations in Denver. That includes those with outstanding orders of removal that have yet to be completed, immigrants with multiple criminal convictions, and people who entered the U.S. lawfully but then overstayed their visas. 

Removing those unauthorized immigrants would keep the government “busy for years,” says Mr. Fabbricatore, a Republican running in Colorado’s 6th Congressional District. “You’re going to have this deterrent that’s going to cause a lot of them to leave, just on the fact that they know [the country is] being serious about our immigration laws now,” he adds.

Immigrant advocates are bracing for impact.

“Our biggest concern is that we are going to be returning people to countries where they face harm,” says Vanessa Dojaquez-Torres of HIAS, a nonprofit serving refugees and asylum-seekers. 

“We would rather see comprehensive immigration reform,” says Ms. Dojaquez-Torres, an attorney who has represented asylum-seekers. Unauthorized immigrants who don’t have criminal histories, pay taxes, and are “just trying to work,” she says, deserve a path to legal status.

Can agencies handle more deportations?

Expanding deportations raises logistical questions around capacity.  

Currently, ICE has up to 41,500 detention beds and around 6,000 Enforcement and Removal Operations officers – compared with millions of unauthorized immigrants in the U.S. Cooperation from local law enforcement around the detaining of potentially deportable immigrants varies across the country, often due to politics.

“We don’t have the manpower to be going after everyone who is removable,” says a spokesperson for ICE, adding that the agency focuses enforcement “on criminals and those who pose a threat” to public safety. 

In his Time interview, Mr. Trump said he “would not rule out” building new migrant detention camps, but “there wouldn’t be that much of a need for them, because of the fact that we’re going to be moving [migrants] out.” Yet if elected, he would face hurdles quickening the pace of certain deportation processes. 

Many deportations rely on orders from immigration court, a system long under strain. The immigration court backlog holds some 3.7 million active cases, according to Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse at Syracuse University. Meanwhile, the government employs around 700 immigration judges.

In addition to more judges, the system also needs more support staff “to make sure you have a fully functioning, efficient immigration court,” says Mimi Tsankov, president of the National Association of Immigration Judges. “Interpreters have to be ordered; documents have to have been submitted; attorneys have to be ready.”

How could a mass deportation plan impact U.S. citizens? 

For one, many unauthorized immigrants live with a spouse or children who do have a lawful status, or are even U.S. citizens. Deportation can lead to family separation and increased socioeconomic hardship in immigrant communities.  

Policy experts also argue that widespread deportations would disrupt the economy in significant ways, due to the contributions of unauthorized workers in sectors such as food and agriculture. Border security advocates, however, say crimes linked to unauthorized immigrants can be prevented by swifter deportations.

Some analysts also worry that more lawfully present residents could become ensnared in a deportation dragnet already known for error. At Northwestern University’s Deportation Research Clinic, Jacqueline Stevens estimates that 1% of removal cases involve U.S. citizens.

“If U.S. citizens are being unlawfully detained and deported, that tells us a lot about how everybody else is being treated,” says Professor Stevens, founding director of the center. She says one safeguard could be securing the right to free counsel in immigration court, which only handles civil cases.

Major, lasting overhauls to the immigration system typically come from Congress, which hasn’t united on such measures since the 1990s. If gridlock on Capitol Hill continues, the next president – from either party – may resort to more executive action on unauthorized immigrants.

Read these companion articles:

Deportation 101: How removing people from the US really works
Deportation sounds like a straightforward term, but it’s complicated in practice. Here’s context for understanding the rise in deportations under President Joe Biden and Republican proposals calling for more.

How Biden and Trump compare on border crossings and immigration
Immigration is a top issue in the U.S. presidential race amid questions about the pace of illegal border crossings and candidate track records. Here’s what the available data tells us.

Our reporter finds community at a century-old Chinese teahouse

Our reporter sought to be a fly on the wall during her early morning visit to a Chengdu teahouse. Instead, she found community among strangers.

Ann Scott Tyson/The Christian Science Monitor
Local residents and out-of-town visitors alike frequent Heming Tea House in People's Park in central Chengdu, China, June 13, 2024.
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An intriguing tip has led me to Heming Tea House in Chengdu, China, at dawn. A longtime resident told me that “old-timers” arrive before six, when tea costs 42 cents. I imagined Chengdu’s version of the small-town diner, filled with regulars debating local affairs – an ideal spot for an observer.

First, the locals trickled in, including a former railway laborer selling newspapers, fueling discussion. Then came the out-of-towners. Suddenly, we’re all chatting, small talk giving way, in time, to weightier topics.

A university administrator from Shanghai bemoans the flight of foreigners from his city. From the adjacent table, a shop owner from Wuhan agrees. She says the country’s pandemic lockdowns and slowing economy have impacted people’s outlooks on life. 

“Before, people worked so hard and always wanted more – but they weren’t any happier,” she says. “It’s difficult to find work and make money now, so the attitude changed from one of ‘struggle’ to a slower rhythm.”

Before I knew it, hours had passed. Planning to merely observe, I’d been drawn in. People came to the teahouse with their cares and left unburdened, no longer strangers.

Our reporter finds community at a century-old Chinese teahouse

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In the darkness before dawn, Yang Xingping opens the spigot of a huge, hissing tank, sending steaming hot water gushing into a big white thermos with a cork stopper. Two by two, he hoists full thermoses into a waiting cart.

“I’ve been here since 4:30 in the morning!” Mr. Yang exclaims. “I fill thousands!”

An intriguing tip has led me very early to Heming Tea House, nestled in Chengdu’s lushly verdant People’s Park. A longtime resident of this balmy southwestern Chinese city told me that “old-timers” arrive before six, when tea costs three yuan, or 42 cents.

I imagined Chengdu’s version of the small-town coffee shop or diner, filled with regulars debating local affairs. An ideal spot for an observer. The open-air, century-old teahouse was a rarity, having survived decades of explosive building in China that has demolished many ancient urban mainstays. Along with the three-yuan tea, it seemed worth rising at five for. 

Heming provided all that – and, unexpectedly, much more.

A symphony of birdsong greets daybreak visitors entering the park en route to the teahouse. A lone cat crosses a stone path and darts into the underbrush. A man in a sleeveless undershirt strolls solo, his arms swinging loosely. From over a moat and under a tall gate, the heavy wooden teahouse appears with its black-tiled roof and upturned eaves, along with the sound of Mr. Yang’s clanging thermoses. 

Ann Scott Tyson/The Christian Science Monitor
Customers take morning tea at the 100-year-old, lakeside Heming Tea House in Chengdu, China, as a boatman clears weeds from the lake.

“Find a seat!” he shouts, with an urgency that seems out of place in the nearly-empty teahouse. I pick out what appears to be a good table – one that fits neatly into a corner protruding over the lake that surrounds the building. 

Mr. Yang disappears, and returns moments later holding a small, bowl-like white cup containing a packet of jasmine tea leaves favored by Chengdu residents. He explains that the three-yuan tea normally comes with “restricted hours” – from 6:30-9:30 a.m., after which the penny-pinching tea drinkers must depart.

But “you come from afar,” he says, setting down a full thermos. “You can stay and drink it all day and into the night, if you like.” 

Not long afterward, a retired Chengdu worker with a buzz cut and plaid shirt arrives at a nearby table. He rinses his cup, tossing the water into the lake with a splash. After steeping his tea, he uses the lid to stir and cool it. “I come here whenever I have time,” he says, holding the lid to strain the leaves and sipping tea off the rim.

Following his example, I steep my tea, and wait. Birdsong draws my gaze upward to the forest-like canopy. A golden carp jumps in the water below my teahouse perch, creating ripples on the lake. I take a sip, and time slows down.

Ann Scott Tyson/The Christian Science Monitor
Mr. Wang, a retired manager from Chengdu, often joins friends for morning tea at Heming Tea House.

Little by little, more people arrive. At seven, a retired manager called Mr. Wang occupies his usual corner spot. “This is my custom. It’s the morning habit of Chengdu people,” he says, nodding at the men seated beside him. “These are all my friends.”

The sound of conversation rises. A peddler, Dai Da, sells newspapers – food for discussion. A villager from just outside Chengdu, Mr. Dai has served as a soldier, labored on the railways, and is proud, in his 80s, to remain a jack-of-all-trades.

Then the out-of-towners arrive. Suddenly, we’re all chatting – small talk giving way, in good time, to weighty topics of the world, life, and dreams deferred.

A university administrator from Shanghai bemoans the flight of foreigners from his city, both during and since the pandemic. “It’s a shame,” he sighs. “I’m so fond of the United States – I’m practically an American myself,” he says, voicing hopes for continued peace, as do many in Chengdu and across China.

Ann Scott Tyson/The Christian Science Monitor
Former railway laborer Dai Da sells newspapers at Heming Tea House.

From the adjacent table, a woman called Ms. Wu agrees. A shop owner from Wuhan, she is visiting with her daughter, who just finished China’s rigorous university entrance exams. Ms. Wu talks about how the country’s pandemic lockdowns and slowing economy have impacted people’s outlooks. 

“Before, people worked so hard and always wanted more – but they weren’t any happier, so what’s the point?” she says. “It’s difficult to find work and make money now, so the attitude changed from one of ‘struggle’ to a slower rhythm.”

Ms. Wu plans to go back to her childhood home in a rural village, grow flowers and vegetables, and care for her parents, who still farm. “Our neighbors also farm and we share, so we have everything we need,” she says.

Before I know it, hours have passed. Planning to merely observe, I’d been drawn in. People came to the tea house with their cares and left unburdened, no longer strangers. 

Then, across the patio I spot a woman holding the hand of a young girl in pigtails searching for a seat. Admittedly with a twinge of reluctance, I catch up to them and pass on the best seat in the house, made better by the giving. 

Points of Progress

What's going right

From Illinois to Sierra Leone, laws on child labor and child marriage

In our progress roundup, a teenager’s opinion on kids appearing in their parents’ videos leads to an Illinois law that says children are workers who deserve pay. And in Sierra Leone, policies around protecting girls and women include a ban on child marriage.

From Illinois to Sierra Leone, laws on child labor and child marriage

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Illinois now requires that child influencers receive part of revenues from their parents’ vlog content

Though states have long had laws protecting children in the entertainment industry, Illinois is the first to pass legislation governing child labor rights on social media. “Family vlogging,” in which parents monetize social media content featuring their children, has become increasingly lucrative and has inspired backlash due to the practice’s mental health implications and young participants’ lack of agency.  

The law stipulates that children younger than 16 are entitled to compensation if they appear in at least 30% of a guardian’s social media content over 30 days. Half of the earnings from vlogs must be set aside in a trust that is accessible to the child when they turn 18. Eighteen-year-olds may bring legal action against parents or guardians who fail to pay them for their work.

The law was inspired by 16-year-old Shreya Nallamothu, who brought the idea to her state senator. Maryland, California, and Wisconsin are considering similar measures.

Claire Savage/AP
Shreya Nallamothu’s advocacy for child protections resulted in an Illinois law.

Sources: Rolling Stone, CNN

A culture of nurturing nature – instead of battling it – is protecting livelihoods in rural Bolivian communities

Bolivia is one of the 15 most biodiverse countries on Earth. But animals such as the red-fronted macaw, endemic only to the nation’s Andean valleys, have suffered as farmers considered them pests and forests were cleared for agriculture.

But now, protection of forests and animals is a source of revenue for locals. In 2006, bird conservation organization Armonía helped communities build a reserve for red-fronted macaws, which last year earned locals $25,000 in profits from their ecolodge. Projects such as beekeeping and tree nurseries provide income as well as benefits for the forest.

Other organizations, such as Natura, have similar approaches: Nonmonetary incentives offer tanks to capture drinking water and fences for livestock. Municipal governments also support these programs where upstream residents protect the environment to benefit downstream water users. Since 2002, some 34,000 families have worked with Natura to conserve thousands of hectares of forests.
Source: Reasons to be Cheerful

Amsterdam clamps down on cruise ships

Phasing out visiting cruise vessels is the city’s latest measure to lessen the burden of “overtourism” and to reduce air pollution. A single cruise ship can produce nitrogen oxides equivalent to 30,000 trucks, according to a report, and about 190 vessels dock in the Dutch capital each year. The number of day-trippers increased by nearly 20% from 2019 to 2023, and overnight stays spiked to 22.1 million last year, exceeding the intended cap of 20 million.

In 2026, the law will cut to 100 the number of vessels permitted to dock in the city. By 2027, instead of their onboard generators, ships must use Amsterdam’s onshore power, which generates less pollution. The city will ban cruise ships entirely in 2035 after the opening of a new terminal being built 16 miles outside Amsterdam.

The plan will increase cruise traffic in Rotterdam, where some ships will soon be routed, and lower Amsterdam’s revenue. But officials have held firm that changes are necessary to keep Amsterdam livable for residents.
Sources: Bloomberg, The New York Times

Sierra Leone banned child marriage, part of a national campaign focused on the welfare of girls

Adults who marry someone under 18 can face 15 years imprisonment or fines of up to $5,000 – a hefty cost in a country where nearly 60% of people are classified as living in poverty. Parents, officiators, and wedding guests can be imprisoned for up to a decade and fined $2,500.

Leo Correa/AP/File
Naomi stands in a classroom in Kono, Sierra Leone, November 2020. She says she fled a marriage organized by her family.

In 2020, about 800,000 girls under 18 were married in Sierra Leone – roughly a third of girls. Pregnancy is a leading cause of death for teens in a country that is still working to lower high maternal mortality for all women, and child marriages are associated with low levels of education for girls.

Experts say that for the law to be effective, the government must address poverty and emphasize the benefits of schooling and better health, since girls may still face cultural stigma for refusing to be wed. The law also allows child brides to annul their unions.
Sources: Semafor, Girls Not Brides, Human Rights Watch, The New York Times

The precision of drones is helping some Vietnamese rice farmers work more efficiently

Growing 27 million metric tons of rice each year, Vietnam is one of the biggest rice producers in the world. While rice is traditionally labor-intensive, drones are changing the workload and saving seed, fertilizer, and pesticides.

The farmer or drone pilot fills a drone with material and maps the field using a smartphone app. The machine then runs automatically and returns when it’s out of supplies, cutting the labor for some tasks in half. “I have more free time, so I can also offer spraying service to other farmers to gain extra income,” said To Van Hoang.

Kham/Reuters/File
A farmer works on her terraced rice field in Pu Luong, Vietnam, February 2020.

Some caution that such automation reduces available jobs, and note drawbacks such as noise and the potential for crashes. But there is a younger generation that is returning to its family farms, drawn by improvements in quality of life. XAG MeKong, which introduced drones to the Mekong Delta in 2021, estimates that Vietnam has 4,000 active drones.
Source: Hakai Magazine

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A truth that awakens Venezuelans

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Last week, some 700 student musicians from 38 countries gathered in New York to celebrate World Orchestra Week. Between rehearsals, they adorned Carnegie Hall with wishes written on satin ribbons. “Women must have their voice and their dreams,” wrote one from Afghanistan. “May love conquer war,” wrote another from China. 

Such words held special resonance for the musicians from Venezuela. While they sought mastery over Shostakovich, their friends and families back home were seeking freedom from a dictatorship that rigs elections to stay in power.

After a July 28 election, President Nicolás Maduro quickly claimed victory even though the National Electoral Council still has not released the official results. Since then, security forces have arrested more than 2,000 people on vague charges. The opposition, meanwhile, is relying on something it hopes will be more persuasive: the truth. It placed election observers in every polling station to obtain and publish official results as soon as they were tallied. The result shows that the main opposition candidate, Edmundo González Urrutia, won nearly 70% of the vote.

Mr. González and other members of the opposition have called on Venezuelans to join in mass protests for “the truth” on Aug. 17.

A truth that awakens Venezuelans

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A person in Caracas holds a Venezuelan flag during an Aug. 8 vigil for citizens who were detained following disputed election results.

Last week, some 700 student musicians from 38 countries gathered in New York to celebrate World Orchestra Week. Between rehearsals and concerts, they adorned Carnegie Hall with wishes written on satin ribbons. “Women must have their voice and their dreams,” wrote one from Afghanistan. “May love conquer war,” wrote another from China. 

Such words held special resonance for the musicians from Venezuela. While they sought mastery over Shostakovich, their friends and families back home were seeking freedom from a dictatorship that rigs elections to stay in power.

After the July 28 election, President Nicolás Maduro quickly claimed victory even though the National Electoral Council still has not released the official results. Since then, security forces have arrested more than 2,000 people on vague charges. Opposition leaders remain in hiding.

Observers say Mr. Maduro’s longevity in power depends on maintaining the loyalty of key institutions such as the military and courts. One test will come when the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, Venezuela’s highest court, renders a final ruling on the results.

The opposition, meanwhile, is relying on something it hopes will be more persuasive: the truth. It placed election observers in every polling station to obtain and publish official results as soon as they were tallied. The result shows that the main opposition candidate, Edmundo González Urrutia, won nearly 70% of the vote.

Mr. González and other members of the opposition have called on Venezuelans to join in mass protests for the “truth” on Aug. 17. “Demanding respect for our constitution is not a crime, demonstrating peacefully to uphold the will of millions of Venezuelans is not a crime,” he wrote in a statement posted on the social media platform X.

That appeal relies on Venezuelans coming together as one to realize the power of truth to defeat a lie. As the student musicians in New York displayed, the truest pitch of Venezuelan democracy lies in the harmony of its citizens.

A Christian Science Perspective

About this feature

Each weekday, the Monitor includes one clearly labeled religious article offering spiritual insight on contemporary issues, including the news. The publication – in its various forms – is produced for anyone who cares about the progress of the human endeavor around the world and seeks news reported with compassion, intelligence, and an essentially constructive lens. For many, that caring has religious roots. For many, it does not. The Monitor has always embraced both audiences. The Monitor is owned by a church – The First Church of Christ, Scientist, in Boston – whose founder was concerned with both the state of the world and the quality of available news.

God-given opportunities are yours

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An understanding that God provides all we truly need enables us to experience that goodness more fully in our lives.

God-given opportunities are yours

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Today's Christian Science Perspective audio edition

Everyone wants to be happy, to see their practical needs met, and to enjoy realized purpose. Yet, today many people feel under fire. In some cases they are literally in a war zone. In other cases, it’s because of health, housing, or education limitations, often seeming too complex and long-standing to solve.

As a student of Christian Science, I’ve learned that the opportunity to live freely and make progress is God’s plan for every man, woman, and child. God is the one, infinitely good Father-Mother who has loved each one of us into being. More than ever, these times call for unselfish prayer to realize that goodness is normal and provable for everyone.

That’s because we are each created to express the “producing, governing, divine Principle” – as the discoverer of Christian Science, Mary Baker Eddy describes God in “Science and Health with Key to the Scriptures” (p. 81). The divine Principle does not fail to create opportunities for its ideas to be productive.

According to the first chapter of Genesis in the Bible, God has created man in His likeness. God is the infinitely good, creative Mind or Spirit, always present, always acting to love and bless every idea created – so it makes sense that we already include whatever is needed to make progress.

Solutions appear when our thinking aligns with God, whose divine law is the giver of all good. We experience blessings, adapted to our own needs, when we discern the everywhere presence of divine Mind.

How? Christ Jesus taught us to know God, and living and thinking on the basis of this Christly knowledge expands our experience and can heal physical difficulties as well as threats to life purpose.

In my case, as I realized that individual interests, talents, integrity, intelligence, and love of good are created by God, I saw and began to trust that opportunity and individual progress go hand in hand. Wouldn’t it be natural and right that an infinite, principled Mind, providing every good quality that we each have, would also supply the necessary opportunities to express those God-derived qualities? Of course!

We can always start thinking from the nature of a good God as the only cause of our being – from what divine Love itself is and does. Infinite Love wouldn’t create an individual with the intelligence to recognize and desire good, yet not provide the opportunity for the practical appearance of that good.

Realizing that God has created each person to thrive negates nagging discouragement and hopelessness, eliminates the tendency to lean on personal, limited resources, and lifts off the feeling of being stymied when it comes to our life purpose.

I’ve been freed from that stymied feeling in various ways. For example, I’ve loved music in many forms since childhood. As I’ve prayed to live God’s love better, pianos that I couldn’t afford have come to me three times in remarkable ways. Needed income for our family came through musical opportunities offered to me, although I was not a professional musician.

On one occasion, a teaching position in a secondary school was very troublesome. Although our family needed the money, I prayed for several months to hear Mind’s direction in relation to whether resigning was the right way forward. As I persistently set aside personal motivations, I finally gained a deep confidence that God would naturally cause the right opportunity for me going forward.

That week I was offered another position. It paid much less than the job I had, a serious concern for our family’s finances. But I continued to pray to acknowledge that the Mind that governs all surely had only good planned for me and my family; I felt deeply that God’s provision was more real than fear of a missed or weakened opportunity.

That same week I was also offered a musical position on the weekends that exactly matched the monetary reduction of the new job. Opportunities for both doing what I loved and having the needed funds were provided.

It grounds our trust to realize that divine Love, in its intelligent governing of every one of us, gives us uniquely tailored opportunities to express goodness. We are created to thrive.

Adapted from an article published in the Nov. 21, 2022, issue of the Christian Science Sentinel.

Viewfinder

Audience of the ancients

Emrah Gurel/AP
Venerable statues are illuminated during the Perseid meteor shower atop Mount Nemrut in southeastern Turkey, Aug. 12, 2024. Perched at an altitude of 2,150 meters (over 7,000 feet), the statues are part of a temple and tomb complex that King Antiochus I, of the Commagene kingdom that was founded in 163 B.C., built as a monument to himself.
( The illustrations in today’s Monitor Daily are by Karen Norris. )

A look ahead

Thanks for joining us today. Tomorrow, you can read about a court that Liberia is creating to try perpetrators of violence. And have you ever heard of “stunt journalism”? It emerged in the 1800s. We’ll introduce you to one of its modern practitioners. 

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