2018
July
30
Monday

Monitor Daily Podcast

July 30, 2018
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So often, news is about the ways that violence is trying to subvert peace. But recent events in Afghanistan, of all places, are offering a glimpse of the reverse.

Reports from numerous media outlets suggest that the Trump administration has begun preliminary direct peace talks with the Taliban. They are the first such high-level talks in three years and mark a departure from the policy of previous administrations that only Afghanistan could lead negotiations. The moment has lit a spark of anticipation.

But this moment, most agree, grew out of something else: a unilateral, three-day cease-fire declared by the Afghan government during the Eid al-Fitr holiday last month. The response was extraordinary. Taliban fighters wandered into cities, where citizens and even local governors embraced them and took selfies. Insider reports suggest Taliban leadership was livid. Why? The Taliban have momentum, and peace could undermine that.

Yet it sprang up everywhere. “What happened over Eid was deeply subversive, politically and militarily dangerous to any party wanting to prolong the conflict,” wrote the Afghanistan Analysts Network. “It demonstrated that a ceasefire, held to completely by both sides, is possible. It revealed a strong peace camp among Afghans that crosses frontlines, and it opened up the imaginative space for Afghans to see what a future without violence could look like. Perhaps most significantly, it allowed human contact between enemies.”

It has also set a clear task for US and Taliban negotiators: What is the next deeply subversive act they can take for peace? 

Here are our five stories for the day, including how the protests of 1968 echo in America today, a child's-eye view of the new Zimbabwe, and lessons from Malaysia on the emerging desire for deeper understanding among religious groups.   


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Today's stories

And why we wrote them

Beginning tomorrow, Paul Manafort will become the first target of Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation to stand trial. Here's a look at what to expect. 

In a time of protests and marches, the turbulent summer of 1968 echoes loudly today. So we went looking for what is different now. In many ways, the issues are the same. But as activism evolves, it is looking to rediscover what makes change.

Ryan Lenora Brown/The Christian Science Monitor
Moreblessing Mutsakani holds her daughter Meryl, who was born near the capital, Harare, on the day that Robert Mugabe resigned as president of Zimbabwe: Nov. 21, 2017. Zimbabwean novelist NoViolet Bulawayo called the Zimbabwean babies born that day the country’s “most precious, most untarnished promise.”

When the Monitor first met these families, Robert Mugabe had just resigned – the same day, in fact, that their daughters were born. Eight months later, amid elections, we wanted to know if they saw signs of the new Zimbabwe they dreamed of for their children.

Lai Seng Sin/Reuters
Devotees climb the steps to Batu Caves during the Hindu festival of Thaipusam in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, in February 2017.

Proximity doesn’t always breed familiarity in religiously diverse Malaysia. Many people tolerate one another’s faiths without understanding them. But after an election upset, many Malays have a message: That’s not enough.

Are grade levels really necessary? One North Dakota school shows how creative educators can get when they are determined to put students’ needs first.


The Monitor's View

After starting trade skirmishes with America’s closest economic partners, the Trump administration may be moving toward resolutions that could bring substantial benefits – and not only on trade itself.

The latest shift was President Trump’s July 25 agreement to negotiate key trade and economic issues with the European Union. The two sides also called a temporary halt to imposing further tariffs while the talks move forward. Significantly, Mr. Trump said both sides of the Atlantic could win in this “new phase” of the relationship. This is a notable improvement in tone from his recent reference to the EU as a principal “foe.”

A substantive agreement is far from assured. European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker still needs all 26 EU member states to agree to the talks. Nevertheless, the new perspective is that both parties can emerge winners. This is significant because the trans-Atlantic economy is the world’s largest. Trade and investment between the EU and the United States employs about 9 million workers and supports as many as 15 million jobs.

On the other big trade front – renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement – Trump spoke positively with Mexican President-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador (aka AMLO) after his July 1 election victory about reaching an agreement on updating NAFTA. The two men followed up with a positive exchange of letters, in which Trump wrote that a successful renegotiation of NAFTA “will lead to even more jobs and higher wages for hard-working American and Mexican workers.” 

Although Trump added a threat that the negotiation should go quickly or he would “go a much different route,” he and AMLO avoided clashes over hot-button issues related to immigration, and supported a rapid return to negotiations. US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer subsequently told Congress he hopes to complete the basic NAFTA negotiations in August. Mexican and Canadian trade ministers have echoed that goal.

As with the EU, the stakes for North America are high: $1.2 trillion in current trade and as many as 14 million US jobs (as well as millions more in Mexico and Canada, America’s largest export destinations).

The reasons for the shifts in tone are widely debated. Some experts ask if the US change in tone is sincere or just tactical. Others surmise that the forceful concerns of US farmers, businesses, and legislators about the combined harmful effects of so many conflicts with trading partners had an impact on the White House. The president and his supporters argue that his tough approach has led America’s partners to come up with attractive offers for the US.

Worth underscoring is that a key change in the US perspective appears to be a desire to facilitate solutions for all. Many observers have lamented that a big obstacle has been a US attitude that trade conflict must be “win-lose,” with the US as the clear winner.

This shift to a climate of give-and-take allows all sides to fix problems and open up market opportunities for workers, farmers, businesses, and consumers. Rather than fight over a bigger piece of the current economic pie, the parties can grow the pie. That approach helps build political support for an agreement at home – although each country must also assist industries and workers in adjusting to heightened competition.

The NAFTA talks will be the first test for this new perspective. All sides agree the treaty needs an update after 25 years. Much technical work is needed to fix the 30-odd chapters of the treaty, which alone will bring challenging issues. On the political level, a handful of proposals raised by the US are being resisted by Mexico and Canada. These include rules for making vehicles, provisions to settle disputes, and the issue of whether to include a five-year “sunset clause” in which all three countries must agree to continue the treaty. Canada and Mexico, as well as many people in the US, say the uncertainty of such a sunset clause would undermine long-term investments.

As it tries to reshape global norms to ensure commerce keeps expanding, the US needs all the allies it can get. This makes it important to adopt a perspective that allows trade “wins” for all.

Progress in trade negotiations has long rested on the knowledge that economies will make progress if they include more players rather than exclude them.


A Christian Science Perspective

About this feature

Each weekday, the Monitor includes one clearly labeled religious article offering spiritual insight on contemporary issues, including the news. The publication – in its various forms – is produced for anyone who cares about the progress of the human endeavor around the world and seeks news reported with compassion, intelligence, and an essentially constructive lens. For many, that caring has religious roots. For many, it does not. The Monitor has always embraced both audiences. The Monitor is owned by a church – The First Church of Christ, Scientist, in Boston – whose founder was concerned with both the state of the world and the quality of available news.

Today’s column explores how the idea that God is supreme – now and always – helps calm fears about the future.


A message of love

Bob Strong/Reuters
Toys stand near a home destroyed by the Carr fire west of Redding, Calif. Shifting winds and an abundance of dry fuel helped the blaze spread to nearly 100,000 acres by Sunday night, according to reports. It is about 20 percent contained. Six people have been killed; nine of a reported 16 missing people have been found safe.
( The illustrations in today’s Monitor Daily are by Jacob Turcotte and Karen Norris. )

A look ahead

Thanks for joining us today. We hope you’ll come back tomorrow when staff writer Linda Feldmann looks at the prominent Republicans – and some now ex-Republicans – taking on President Trump. What happens when you feel your party has left you?

More issues

2018
July
30
Monday

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