New software can track global poverty...from space

A team of Stanford researchers have created a program that uses only publicly available satellite imagery to cheaply and efficiently find poverty indicators. The program could be a cheap and accurate new method of poverty data collection.

|
Neal Jean/Stanford/EurekAlert
Stanford researchers combine high-resolution satellite imagery with powerful machine learning algorithms to predict poverty in Nigeria, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda and Malawi.

Around the world, there are people who need help. But sometimes, populations of poverty-stricken people are difficult to find.

That is why researches at Stanford have put together a program to find people who need help, from space.

One of the many difficulties in dealing with poverty is simply not knowing where to send aid. In many poor countries, data on which areas need the most help are hard to get.

According to World Bank data cited in the Stanford team's press release, 39 out of 59 African countries conducted fewer than two surveys substantial enough to result in poverty measures between 2000 and 2010. 

Such surveys are costly and often difficult, especially in war-torn countries. Nevertheless, the data is of great importance for policymakers who want to help.

The Stanford team's new program is a new way acquire poverty-distribution data affordably and efficiently using a machine-learning technique called a convolutional neural network and images of the planet taken by satellites orbiting it.

In an article published in the journal Science, the team used only publicly available data to train the neural network to identify features associated with poverty from satellite images in Nigeria, Tanzania, Uganda, Malawi, and Rwanda. The countries were chosen because of reliable data about poverty distribution with which to compare the program's results.

The program is able to distinguish and flag various features that indicate poverty. At night, areas with less light indicate less wealth, but the team found that daytime data was even more useful. In daylight, the program can tell the difference between rooftops made of metal and rooftops made from mud or thatch. The program can also make predictions of poverty based on distance from city centers.

"Without being told what to look for, our machine learning algorithm learned to pick out of the imagery many things that are easily recognizable to humans – things like roads, urban areas and farmland." said Neal Jean, the lead author of the Journal study in a statement.

These factors are useful in determining how much money is running through an area, and, by extension, the relative level of wealth of the people living there, according to The Los Angeles Times. In fact, the new method has already yielded more accurate results than many more traditional methods of gathering data. In Rwanda, program predicted average household wealth better than cell phone records.

The program is still in the early stages of development, and will require a lot more refinement and traditional surveys to verify its potential accuracy. But with a little bit of work, the program eventually use use daytime satellite data to locate areas of poverty at virtually no significant cost, using publicly available satellite imagery.

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.
Real news can be honest, hopeful, credible, constructive.
What is the Monitor difference? Tackling the tough headlines – with humanity. Listening to sources – with respect. Seeing the story that others are missing by reporting what so often gets overlooked: the values that connect us. That’s Monitor reporting – news that changes how you see the world.

Dear Reader,

About a year ago, I happened upon this statement about the Monitor in the Harvard Business Review – under the charming heading of “do things that don’t interest you”:

“Many things that end up” being meaningful, writes social scientist Joseph Grenny, “have come from conference workshops, articles, or online videos that began as a chore and ended with an insight. My work in Kenya, for example, was heavily influenced by a Christian Science Monitor article I had forced myself to read 10 years earlier. Sometimes, we call things ‘boring’ simply because they lie outside the box we are currently in.”

If you were to come up with a punchline to a joke about the Monitor, that would probably be it. We’re seen as being global, fair, insightful, and perhaps a bit too earnest. We’re the bran muffin of journalism.

But you know what? We change lives. And I’m going to argue that we change lives precisely because we force open that too-small box that most human beings think they live in.

The Monitor is a peculiar little publication that’s hard for the world to figure out. We’re run by a church, but we’re not only for church members and we’re not about converting people. We’re known as being fair even as the world becomes as polarized as at any time since the newspaper’s founding in 1908.

We have a mission beyond circulation, we want to bridge divides. We’re about kicking down the door of thought everywhere and saying, “You are bigger and more capable than you realize. And we can prove it.”

If you’re looking for bran muffin journalism, you can subscribe to the Monitor for $15. You’ll get the Monitor Weekly magazine, the Monitor Daily email, and unlimited access to CSMonitor.com.

QR Code to New software can track global poverty...from space
Read this article in
https://www.csmonitor.com/Science/2016/0821/New-software-can-track-global-poverty-from-space
QR Code to Subscription page
Start your subscription today
https://www.csmonitor.com/subscribe