The Undefeateds: Green Bay Packers have edge over Denver Broncos

NFL Week 8: Aaron Rodgers and the Packers travel to Denver to face Peyton Manning and the Broncos for Sunday Night Football. Both teams are undefeated.

|
(AP Photo/File)
At left, in an Oct. 18, 2015, file photo, Green Bay Packers' Aaron Rodgers warms up for an NFL football game against the San Diego Chargers in Green Bay, Wis. At right, in a Nov. 9, 2014, file photo, Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning stands on the sideline during a game against the Oakland Raiders in Oakland, Calif. While some view Sunday's game as a rare chance to compare and contrast two great quarterbacks at different points on their career arcs, the quarterbacks themselves prefer to focus on the task at hand: Green Bay vs. Denver, each looking to improve to 7-0.

"For the first time since the merger ..." is a statement that you do not see very often.

The AFL and the NFL merged in 1970. So after 45 years of professional football, fans have seen just about anything and everything at this point. But this NFL season reminds fans that one of the things that makes football so entertaining is its capacity to surprise.

There are five undefeated teams in the NFL for first time since the merger this late in the season. Two of the unbeaten, the Denver Broncos and the Green Bay Packers, meet on Sunday Night Football (8:30 p.m. ET) to try and remain that way.

What does it mean to have so many undefeated teams at this point in the season? More losers, for one. With the five teams (including the New England Patriots, Carolina Panthers, Cincinnati Bengals) monopolizing wins, there are only six other teams (out of the 32 in the league) with winnings records. 

The most precarious of the undefeated teams is the Denver Broncos, who have won every game but one by only one score, and have relied on their defense to bail out the offense in almost every game. Hall of Fame bound QB Peyton Manning is having a nightmarish season, and his offense is last in terms of efficiency, performing 28.4 percent worse than the mean, and more than 10.5 percent worse than the second-to-last 49ers.

Just how bad has Manning been? His 254 yards per game would be his fewest since 2008 and his 10 interceptions through 8 games approach his average per season (14) and his average per season with Denver (12). He has averaged a 79.76 QBR with Denver, and had the best QBR in the league in both 2012 and 2013, however this season his 46.36 QBR is good for 25th best in the league. Just to add insult to injury, Manning has 10 touchdowns this season, but three have been to the other team.

Peyton and the Broncos are undefeated nonetheless, and they have their defense to thank for that. The unit leads the NFL in overall defensive efficiency, and it is by virtue of their stifling pass defense. The team allows only 192.2 yards per game, best in the league, and have allowed a 69.6 Quarterback Rating for opposition quarterbacks. They are 42.6 percent better than the mean, with the Carolina Panthers boasting a 24.0 percent efficiency rate, a faraway second place.

Green Bay's QB Aaron Rodgers will have his hands full, but if anyone can pick apart a stellar secondary, it is Rodgers.

The Packers' quarterback is off to another exceptional start, throwing for 1,491 yards and 15 touchdowns. He ranks third in the league in touchdowns, and his 80.83 QBR is good for second best. A big factor in his success has been the reemergence of wide out James Jones, who left the team for a season only to return as a free agent and reassume his role as a touchdown scoring monster. His six touchdowns and nine plays totaling 20 yards or more have been indispensable to the Packers, who lost wide receiver Jordy Nelson to injury in the preseason.  

Asked about his role, Jones showed his opportunistic attitude to the game.  "When I came here, I didn't know what my role was going to be," Jones told reporters at ESPN. "I didn't know what I was going to do. But like I told myself since I was a rookie and every time you guys have interviewed me, when I get a chance to make a play, make a play. That's my same motto in year nine."

The tipping point for this matchup could be the turnover battle. Both the Broncos and Packers sit third in the league with a plus-one average turnover differential per game. The stat within the stat here is how that differential is achieved. The Packers limit their turnovers to less than one per game and turnover the opposition at an average rate, while the Broncos turn the ball over on offense quite a bit, but counteract it with the most takeaways per game in the league, 2.8.

The Broncos will have trouble turning Rodgers over on Sunday Night, and Manning will have his share of turnovers, giving the Packers the edge and likely deciding the game in their favor.

You've read  of  free articles. Subscribe to continue.
Real news can be honest, hopeful, credible, constructive.
What is the Monitor difference? Tackling the tough headlines – with humanity. Listening to sources – with respect. Seeing the story that others are missing by reporting what so often gets overlooked: the values that connect us. That’s Monitor reporting – news that changes how you see the world.

Dear Reader,

About a year ago, I happened upon this statement about the Monitor in the Harvard Business Review – under the charming heading of “do things that don’t interest you”:

“Many things that end up” being meaningful, writes social scientist Joseph Grenny, “have come from conference workshops, articles, or online videos that began as a chore and ended with an insight. My work in Kenya, for example, was heavily influenced by a Christian Science Monitor article I had forced myself to read 10 years earlier. Sometimes, we call things ‘boring’ simply because they lie outside the box we are currently in.”

If you were to come up with a punchline to a joke about the Monitor, that would probably be it. We’re seen as being global, fair, insightful, and perhaps a bit too earnest. We’re the bran muffin of journalism.

But you know what? We change lives. And I’m going to argue that we change lives precisely because we force open that too-small box that most human beings think they live in.

The Monitor is a peculiar little publication that’s hard for the world to figure out. We’re run by a church, but we’re not only for church members and we’re not about converting people. We’re known as being fair even as the world becomes as polarized as at any time since the newspaper’s founding in 1908.

We have a mission beyond circulation, we want to bridge divides. We’re about kicking down the door of thought everywhere and saying, “You are bigger and more capable than you realize. And we can prove it.”

If you’re looking for bran muffin journalism, you can subscribe to the Monitor for $15. You’ll get the Monitor Weekly magazine, the Monitor Daily email, and unlimited access to CSMonitor.com.

QR Code to The Undefeateds: Green Bay Packers have edge over Denver Broncos
Read this article in
https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Society/2015/1101/The-Undefeateds-Green-Bay-Packers-have-edge-over-Denver-Broncos
QR Code to Subscription page
Start your subscription today
https://www.csmonitor.com/subscribe