2024
December
12
Thursday

Monitor Daily Podcast

December 12, 2024
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TODAY’S INTRO

What has changed in Syria, and what hasn’t

Scott Peterson and Dominique Soguel are on the ground in Syria. On her first day back in the country, two things struck Dominique. 

First, people are willing to express their political opinions loud and clear, including their concerns about what might come next. That’s a startling change, she says. What has not changed, she adds, is the hospitality and willingness among Syrians of every class and faith to help even perfect strangers. 

“In just a few hours,” she says, “I’ve been able to lean in on old friends and new ones to solve all kinds of problems to arrive safely.”

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Assad’s fall has rewards for Israel. It’s focused on the risks.

For Israel, like others, the Assad regime’s fall creates challenges. Invoking its security, Israel moved quickly to seize border positions and smash Syrian military equipment. But can it translate its strategic advantage into diplomatic achievements?

Matias Delacroix/AP
Israeli military vehicles patrol the security fence near what’s known as the Alpha Line that separates the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights from Syria, in the town of Majdal Shams, Dec. 12, 2024.
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Within hours of Syrian rebels seizing Damascus last weekend, Israeli soldiers crossed into a demilitarized buffer zone between the two countries. Israel described the move as defensive and temporary, necessary to keep at bay the potential chaos and attendant threats inside Syria.

From a strategic perspective, the crumbling of Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” – including a weakened Hezbollah and the fall of the Tehran-backed Assad regime in Damascus – is a victory for Israel. But it also creates a host of security problems. In a powerful indication it is taking no chances, Israel launched hundreds of air and missile strikes on Syrian military equipment and installations this week.

In the meantime, not everyone is convinced Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu isn’t already overreaching in Syria to win domestic political points. Others say there are opportunities for even greater achievements.

Jeremy Issacharoff, a former Foreign Ministry official, suggests Israel could strengthen its anti-Iranian alliance if it addresses Palestinian aspirations.

“It could start talking about a pathway towards a two-state solution with the Saudis that could also include the Syrians as well,” he says. “I don’t want to be overly optimistic – these are not simple things – but it would be irresponsible to exclude it.”

Assad’s fall has rewards for Israel. It’s focused on the risks.

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For 50 years, the Israel-Syria border on the Golan Heights was the quietest in the Middle East. But within hours of Syrian rebel forces seizing Damascus without a fight last weekend, Israeli soldiers crossed into a demilitarized zone in Syria designed as a buffer between the two countries.

Israel described the seizure of some key positions on the Golan’s rocky plateau and near the peak of snowcapped Mount Hermon as a defensive and temporary move, necessary to keep at bay the potential chaos and attendant threats inside Syria.

The action also has the proactive markings of a government and army still reeling from the colossal failure to protect its people from the Hamas massacre and mass hostage taking 14 months ago.

Yet in an even more powerful indication it is taking no chances, Israel launched hundreds of air and missile strikes on Syrian military equipment and installations this week. The goal: to minimize any threat from the replacement in Damascus of the “devil it knew,” Bashar al-Assad, with an untested coalition of rebels led by a faction with jihadist roots.

Among the targets not just hit, but entirely destroyed, according to Israel: the Syrian navy and sea-to-sea missiles with a range as far as 120 miles. Of most immediate concern, however, have been stockpiles of and production facilities for chemical weapons, which Mr. Assad had used against his own people and which Israel fears could fall into “the wrong hands.”

Following the dramatic weakening of the Iran-backed Lebanese militia Hezbollah in a punishing Israeli offensive this fall, what does the sudden collapse of the Iran-allied Assad regime mean for Israel?

A victory with challenges

From a strategic and historical perspective, the crumbling of Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” – its collection of proxy armies – is a victory. But it also creates a host of Israeli security problems, not least of which is Syria’s likely instability for the foreseeable future.

“The worst-case scenario in Syria is that it could become the Somalia of the Middle East,” Nitzan Nuriel, a retired brigadier general and counterterrorism expert, told journalists in a briefing.

“From the Israeli perspective, based on what happened in countries from Libya to Afghanistan, we know when regimes collapse, terror groups can take over and take advantage of weapons systems and platforms and use them against neighboring states and others,” he said. “So as a preemptive step, we decided to destroy everything those unexpected rivals might use in the future.”

Salaah Jeaar/Reuters
A drone view shows sunken boats at the Mediterranean port of Latakia in northwest Syria, Dec. 11, 2024, after Israel said it struck and destroyed Syrian military equipment and facilities once rebels seized power.

With Iran considerably weakened, the biggest question for Israel now surrounds the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program, argues Danny Citrinowicz, a research fellow at the Institute for National Security Studies, a Tel Aviv think tank.

“Tehran could theoretically enrich uranium to a military-grade level of 90 percent ‘as early as tomorrow’ and attempt to build a nuclear facility within a few months,” he wrote in the Maariv daily newspaper. Yet, he cautioned, “Such a move without Hezbollah’s protective umbrella, combined with Israel’s demonstrated capability to strike in Iran, and the presence of President Trump in the White House, could pose a direct threat to the regime in Tehran.”

This new reality “changes the rules of the game,” he added, and “significantly weakens Iran’s influence in the Middle East for at least the coming years.”

The buffer zone

Still, analysts say, it will be important for Israel to thwart any Iranian attempts to regain a foothold in Syria, which for years served as Tehran’s main corridor for transporting weapons to Hezbollah in Lebanon. Also recommended: to build bridges with the country’s moderate Sunni rebels and Druze communities.

In the meantime, not everyone in Israel is convinced that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing government isn’t already making mistakes by engaging in tactical overreach in a bid to win domestic political points.

“When it comes to sending troops to the Syrian side of the Golan Heights, what military purpose does it serve apart from showing everyone we are there and we are strong?” says Eyal Zisser, a professor of Middle East history at Tel Aviv University and an expert on Syria. “Are we protected better if we are about a mile or two deeper into Syria? I doubt that very much.”

Matias Delacroix/AP
Israeli patrol vehicles cross the security fence in the Golan Heights near Majdal Shams, Dec. 12, 2024. Israel says its move into the military buffer zone is defensive and temporary.

Aluf Benn, editor-in-chief of Haaretz, a left-wing Israeli newspaper, noted Wednesday that on a tour of the Golan Heights the previous day, Mr. Netanyahu had declared the collapse of the 1974 postwar agreement that set up the Syrian buffer zone and had been honored ever since.

“If the agreement has collapsed, Israel is no longer bound by the map that accompanies it; it can change the border according to its security needs,” Mr. Benn wrote. “For most of his years in power, Netanyahu was considered risk-averse, someone who avoided wars and embraced the status quo. The current war [with Hamas and Iran’s proxies] has changed him.”

Jeremy Issacharoff, former vice director-general of Israel’s Foreign Ministry, argues that while Israel has a duty to protect its border, it also has one to respect such a valuable agreement, one that has served as a critically stabilizing force and kept the border peaceful.

“To take over the Syrian side of the Golan Heights is an important cautionary step,” he says, “but it’s important to say it is a temporary measure, not meant to disrupt but rather preserve the agreement.”

This, he argues, would be a central achievement for Israel, as it waits to see how things play out inside Syria – specifically, whether the leadership that emerges is moderate or extreme.

Rebel leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, whose Islamist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham faction is listed as a terrorist organization by the United States and others, has presented himself as pragmatist who wants to focus on rehabilitating Syria, not on seeking out new wars to fight.

Is there opportunity?

In 2013, during the Syrian civil war, the Israeli army launched “Operation Good Neighbor” – its answer to concerns that Islamist militants among the Syrian rebels might use the border area to launch attacks.

Atef Safadi/AP/File
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (center) and then-Defense Minister Naftali Bennett visit an Israeli army base in the Golan Heights, Nov. 24, 2019.

To encourage villages and towns to keep such forces away, and to help civilians fleeing toward the border, Israel provided humanitarian assistance in the form of food, gasoline, and medical supplies, and then began treating wounded Syrians in Israeli hospitals.

The hope was also long-term, that this kind of personal outreach would one day pay dividends.

“This is how Syrians found out that Israel is not Satan. Ties were made between people,” says Yehuda Blanga, a Syria expert who lectures in Bar Ilan University’s Middle East studies department. “I’d suggest the government try to connect now to the same people who once needed our help.”

In 13 years of civil war, which Mr. Assad sought to brutally crush – bombing civilians in opposition-held cities and torturing detainees – more than half a million people were killed and millions displaced.

Syria “could go the way of becoming an ISIS meshuggeneh state,” says Ambassador Issacharoff, using the Yiddish word for crazy, “but I have a feeling it’s too much of an opportunity for the Syrian people” to miss out on rebuilding and rehabilitating themselves.

Israel could in turn strengthen and expand its regional anti-Iranian alliance, he suggests, if it addresses Palestinian aspirations.

“It could start talking about a pathway towards a two-state solution with the Saudis that could also include the Syrians as well, and maybe Lebanon, too,” he says. “I don’t want to be overly optimistic – these are not simple things – but it would be irresponsible to exclude it.

“American involvement can help fashion a much broader opportunity if you have a Saudi or Syrian opportunity on the table,” he says. “If you want to make the deal of the century, this could be it.”

News Briefs

Today’s news briefs

• Biden issues record pardons: U.S. President Joe Biden is commuting the sentences of roughly 1,500 people who were released from prison and placed on home confinement during the COVID-19 pandemic and pardoning 39 Americans convicted of nonviolent crimes.
 Trump invites Xi to inauguration: President-elect Donald Trump has invited Chinese leader Xi Jinping to attend his Jan. 20 inauguration.
• Louisville police reform: Louisville, Kentucky, agrees to reform its police department after an investigation prompted by the 2020 killing of Breonna Taylor found a pattern of discrimination against Black residents. 
• British LGBTQ+ veterans: British military veterans who were discharged or suffered other forms of discrimination will receive up to $89,300.

Read these news briefs.

The Explainer

Why is the US in a housing crisis, and what can be done about it?

More people are seeking homes than there are places to buy or rent, which contributes to high prices. Here’s what led to the housing crisis, and some potential solutions.

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In the United States, 1 in 4 renters spends over half their income on rent, and millions of potential homebuyers can’t find a home within their price range, says Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. Put simply, there are far more people trying to find housing than there are places to buy or rent, pushing prices beyond what many can afford.

The supply shortage is worst in big cities. But in recent years, owning a home, or even finding a good rental, has begun to feel out of reach for more people.

Rent is increasing for just about everyone, says Alexander Hermann, senior research associate at the Harvard center.

The 2008 recession and the pandemic hurt housing production, and demand from buyers and renters caught up. Municipal zoning laws favor single-family homes, limiting multifamily dwellings. Plans for affordable housing are often opposed by homeowners who, one expert says, may be acting on “misperceptions and myths.”

As one solution, some states are passing laws designed to spur housing development.

Jesse Kanson-Benanav, executive director of Abundant Housing Massachusetts, says a family living on minimum wage can’t afford to live in most places. That has spurred “a national movement” of advocacy for affordable housing.

Why is the US in a housing crisis, and what can be done about it?

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Nam Y. Huh/AP
A "For rent" sign is displayed outside an apartment building in Skokie, Illinois, April 14, 2024.

In the United States, 1 in 4 renters spends over half their income on rent, and millions of potential homebuyers can’t find a home within their price range, according to Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. Put simply, there are far more people trying to find housing than there are places to buy or rent, pushing prices beyond what many can afford.

It’s striking how universal the issue has become for renters, says Alexander Hermann, senior research associate at the center. Zillow estimates that 4.5 million fewer homes are available than the number of Americans likely to be looking to either rent or buy.

Rents are “increasing for households of every race and ethnicity,” he says. “They’re increasing for households who are employed. They’re increasing for households at every age. It’s not just any one group that’s experiencing greater affordability challenges. It’s basically everyone on the renters’ side.”

Here’s a look at how we got here.

What is affordable housing?

“Affordable housing” is a technical term used by policymakers and statisticians, as well as a harder-to-define social phenomenon. They both reflect the idea that people should not spend more than a certain proportion of their income on rent or mortgage.

The federal government defines affordable housing as costing the renter 30% or less of their income. It uses a measure called Area Median Income – the midpoint of the distribution of household incomes of a certain place. It’s used by entities from local agencies to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. For example, HUD offers Section 8 vouchers – which help people afford housing in the private market – for those who make 80%, 50%, and 30% of the median income figure where they live.

The supply shortage is worst in big cities, particularly on the coasts. But in recent years, owning a home, or even finding a good rental, has begun to feel out of reach for more and more people.

When Jesse Kanson-Benanav, executive director of Abundant Housing Massachusetts, first became a housing advocate in Cambridge in 2012, he found the conversation limited to places like Boston, New York, and Washington. Now, he says, a family living on minimum wage can’t afford to live in most places, which has spurred advocacy.

“It is a national movement in a way that it wasn’t when I started doing this work,” he says.

Why are we experiencing a housing crisis right now?

More people are struggling to pay for housing because of the 2008 financial crisis and inflation brought on by the pandemic, according to Mr. Hermann.

From the 1970s until the early 2000s, housing stock grew faster than households, creating a healthy buffer, he says. Poor-quality housing stock was demolished, and some units remained vacant, allowing people to move where they wished, while prices remained reasonable for those not at the lowest end of the income spectrum.

Greg Eans/The Messenger-Inquirer/AP
Abigail Daugherty (left) and Lee Daugherty talk outside the Colonel House Motel where they live with their daughter, Nov. 21, 2024, in Owensboro, Kentucky. The motel has been sold to the city of Owensboro with plans to solicit for a private developer interested in renovating the property and turning it into affordable housing.

The 2008 financial crisis hollowed out the construction industry. Production lagged, only keeping pace with population growth. The healthy buffer disappeared. Inflation and interest rates grew during the pandemic, further depressing housing production, and supply chain disruptions drove up the cost of building materials.

More people were trying to move into new homes, as young people sought to leave their parents’ houses or live without roommates. Millennials, born between 1981 and 1996, hit peak homebuying age as pandemic restrictions were being lifted, Mr. Hermann says.

Multifamily and single-family production has picked up in the last year, he says, helping to cool the rental market. Still, high costs of construction and land, as well as other barriers, remain.

Jacob Turcotte/Staff

How did our legal system help create this crisis?

Local governments create rules – called land-use regulations or zoning ordinances – that define what can be built. Most residential zoning in the U.S. allows single-family homes only, according to a 2019 report in The New York Times. Often, governments require those homes be placed on lots that are a minimum of a half-acre to 2 acres.

That limits space for denser structures like duplexes or triplexes, or accessory dwelling units next to an existing home. Parking requirements as well as lengthy and uncertain review processes make projects riskier and more costly, explains Mr. Hermann.

And by definition, single-family zoning produces “a more expensive housing unit than multifamily,” says Timothy Hollister, a lawyer who has represented affordable housing developers in Connecticut for over 40 years.

In most places, a developer hoping to build anything larger than single-family homes – for example, an apartment building – must face a public meeting. In the book “Neighborhood Defenders,” Boston University political scientists found that, in Massachusetts, people at those meetings were more likely to be male, older, white homeowners, and most opposed the project.

Mr. Hollister says towns are “creating walls against perceived racial and economic integration that they did not want. The opposition to affordable housing is still very much based on stereotypes and prejudice and misperceptions and myths.”

The Joint Harvard Center for Housing Studies found, between 2015 and 2019, that 71.7% of white households owned their own homes compared with 41.7% of Black households. People of color are also more likely to need rental assistance, with 20% of Black and 18% of Indigenous households qualifying as extremely low-income renters compared with 6% of white households.

He says the Federal Fair Housing Act outlawed the most overt forms of discrimination. He traces the current crisis to the 1922 Standard State Zoning Enabling Act, which gave local governments the power to create zoning laws.

What can be done?

While economic issues – high construction costs, expensive land – pose challenges, Mr. Hermann says zoning and regulations are “in some ways more concerning because we have the most control over them.”

In her new book of essays, “On the Housing Crisis,” Atlantic magazine writer Jerusalem Demsas argues land-use regulation should be in the hands of state governments, not of local institutions. The entities “charged with land-use decisions are attuned to parochial complaints, not large-scale needs,” she writes.

With homeowners most likely to show up to local meetings, the voices most likely to support more housing – whether local renters or people who want to move from elsewhere – are just not present. She says state governments are beholden to a much larger set of voters, and are more likely to spur housing production.

Mr. Kanson-Benanav’s organization, Abundant Housing, is a founding member of the Welcoming Neighbors Network, which includes 38 pro-housing organizations across 24 states. He says they will be approaching their state legislatures and city halls next year in a concerted push for zoning and other production reforms. Already, a few states have begun to take control from municipalities, including Washington, Oregon, California, Utah, Montana, Massachusetts, and Connecticut.

Mr. Kanson-Benanav pointed to Gov. Greg Gianforte of Montana, who recently pushed through a law requiring municipalities to choose from a set of reforms aimed at spurring development, according to a news release. California took a similar approach starting in 2017. The Brookings Institution found, while not much yet has changed in California, a greater proportion of multifamily dwellings – and other housing suitable for people of middle incomes – were permitted between 2019 and 2022 than before.

Massachusetts’ 2021 MBTA Communities Act required towns and cities connected to Boston by train to submit plans allowing denser zoning near those transit hubs. Mr. Kanson-Benanav says it is only one part of a broader “tool kit” that includes allowing accessory dwelling units, lowering minimum lot sizes, and reducing parking requirements.

As a more immediate solution, the Harvard center suggests a $25,000 down payment assistance loan could smooth the way for 1.1 million Black or Hispanic renters to become homeowners.

President-elect Donald Trump says more restrictive immigration laws, and mass deportation of unauthorized immigrants, would ease housing demand. Project 2025, The Heritage Foundation’s blueprint for a second Trump administration, says local governments should retain control over zoning laws that affect housing issues.

Christine Cousineau, a lecturer in urban design at Tufts University, says she thinks Americans are beginning to give up on the dream of the large, single-family home with a yard they can walk around in.

“People are desperate to find housing rather than aspiring to a particular type,” she says.

Jacob Turcotte/Staff

Malibu’s wildfire threatens my community. It’s also bringing us together.

Natural disasters are often events that awaken thought. Our writer reflects on honing priorities as a wildfire looms – and building local connections along the way.

Ethan Swope/AP
A woman leads a horse to safety as the Franklin Fire burns in Malibu, California, on Dec. 10, 2024. Authorities said the cause of the fire, which began Dec. 9 and had burned some 4,000 acres, was still unknown.
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Campus was closed for the second “fire day” in a row. Instead of heading to morning classes, my high school freshman watched over younger schoolmates whose parents have to work. This family normally pays her to babysit – now there’s no charge. We are forming a village. 

I’ve recently moved to Los Angeles after three decades away – now, with one teenager at home and another in college. Our little house in the hills is perched precariously close to the Franklin Fire sweeping this week through Malibu, a canyon away. So far, it has consumed around 4,000 acres, and is approaching my daughter’s school grounds. 

I realize I don’t have a go bag. We keep important papers in a fireproof case for this very occasion, but I’ve neglected to put together other essentials. All I really need are my girls and our little bichon, Rocky. 

It’s impossible to ignore an escalating sense of disaster. In the last few weeks, we’ve had a minor earthquake – too small to trigger the warning system; my older daughter, who’s in Northern California, was affected by a tsunami warning; and now we have this latest fire.

But now I have a plan. And my village is growing.

Malibu’s wildfire threatens my community. It’s also bringing us together.

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Campus was closed for the second “fire day” in a row. Instead of heading to morning classes, my high school freshman watched over younger schoolmates whose parents have to work. This family normally pays her to babysit – now there’s no charge. We are forming a village.

I looked around our home with acute gratitude: nutcrackers we’ve collected; my great-grandparents’ furniture; a white cabinet that served as a changing table for my daughter who’s now in college; artwork – so much art – collected abroad, passed down through generations, made by tiny hands when my girls were younger.

I’ve recently moved to Los Angeles after three decades away – now, with one teenager at home and another in college. Our little house in the hills is perched precariously close to the Franklin Fire sweeping this week through Malibu, a canyon away. So far the fire has consumed around 4,000 acres, and is approaching my daughter’s wooded school grounds.

We watched CalFire’s live evacuation map grow throughout the night – ready to run to campus to save whatever we could. As of Day 4, the school is under an evacuation warning, but its little cabins tucked in the hillside are still standing.

LA is a city of mountains, valleys, coastline, and the canyons that connect them. It is this topography that creates LA’s microclimates – a fascination for locals who have strong opinions about which neighborhood has the best weather – and well-fueled fire corridors.

Ali Martin/The Christian Science Monitor
A visit to the Nutcracker ballet was an annual tradition for the writer’s family. Her daughters delight each year in bringing out the dolls, collected from performances and seen here on the hearth Dec. 12, 2024, in Los Angeles.

The air feels heavy. A chilly dampness brings the slightest hope of moisture. The natural haze mingles with any smoke that might hint at flames making their way up the Pacific Ocean side of the Santa Monica Mountains. We are surrounded by trees: sycamore, lemon, pomegranate, orange, cypress, elm, maple, and oak. Amid the city, we are connected to nature. This duality is as integral to LA’s makeup as its sunshine and creative spirit.

I grew up here, in the San Fernando Valley, where drought and earthquakes are part of the atmosphere. But the actual threat of fire has always floated as a low-lingering cloud of possibility that never really landed. Until now.

These moments are transformative. They awaken latent feelings – of fear, gratitude, love. Of purpose. What means the most to me? Who means the most? I realize I don’t have a go bag. We’ve always kept important papers in a fireproof case for this very occasion, but I’ve neglected to put together other essentials. I mean, who has an extra set of essentials lying around to put in a box for emergency use only?

It’s easy to fill my laundry baskets and toss them in the back of the car. Family photos and some jewelry – things easy to grab – are within reach. High value, low effort. My California work-from-home wardrobe lends itself to a quick getaway. The dog’s leash and harness are in my purse.

If I have to, I’m ready to walk away from all of it. All I really need is my daughter and our little bichon, Rocky.

This realization hits deeply. It is a relief, but the possibility of starting over, again, feels like free fall. Home is different now. Much of my childhood village has moved away or passed away, and I’ve been seeking connections to take root.

Ethan Swope/AP
Firefighters battle the Franklin Fire in Malibu, California, Dec. 10, 2024. The fire had consumed some 4,000 acres as of midweek, prompting authorities to issue evacuation orders to around 20,000 people in Los Angeles County.

Natural disasters don’t tend to rattle me. I’ve chased tornadoes in the South, hurricanes out East, whiteout blizzards in the Midwest. I know all the safety drills. But fire hits differently – it gives little notice and overpowers indiscriminately. In a game of Rock, Paper, Scissors, fire wins. That’s probably why it’s not Rock, Paper, Scissors, Fire.

My daughters grew up with snowy winters and snow days. In Champaign, Illinois; Omaha, Nebraska; and Johnstown, Pennsylvania, the lightest snowfall or single-digit temperatures would send us to the morning news to check for a ticker of school closings. And the closings meant joy: into their snow gear, then out to the lawn with shovels and sleds until cold caught up to the excitement and they remembered the hot chocolate in our pantry. This would all happen before 8 a.m., and the rest of the day was spent with Lego bricks, painting, or Oobleck, capped off by a movie watched from under a pile of blankets that may or may not have been a fort. Snow days had all the fun of playing hooky with zero risk.

Now we have fire days and preemptive power-outage days; five in six weeks, including one school evacuation. My youngest is unaware of the relative danger. She is delighted by the disruption.

The first day of the fire brought the students a thrilling break in routine. There were no online classes scheduled, so my daughter and her friends conspired to spend the afternoon at the mall. One mom agreed to cart the group around during the day. Another mom hosted them late in the afternoon. One of the dads brought them home. I couldn’t text enough heart emoji to express my thanks to the families who got my kid out of the house for the day so she could have some fun – and I could get some work done. Any parent who works during these “bonus” free days knows this gratitude.

My neighbor, an engineer who works with the city, is a wealth of helpful information. When I moved in, he showed me how to get trash piles hauled away. He told me whom to call when my power lines came down. As the fire spread, he sent me the link for Cal Fire’s live map and assured me he’d take care of my child if she’s left alone for any reason, as if the two – a map and the promise of care for a loved one – have equal weight. I exhaled for the first time that day.

My daughter’s response to Day 2 was to ask if we could put together a remote-schooling group – lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic. If the lockdown taught us anything, it’s how to pivot. And how important friends are.

It’s impossible to ignore an escalating sense of disaster. In the last few weeks, we’ve had a minor earthquake – too small to trigger the warning system; my older daughter, who’s in Northern California, was affected by a tsunami warning when a large earthquake struck off the coast; and now we have this latest fire.

But now I have a plan. And my village is growing.

Difference-maker

Nigerian women in arranged ‘money marriages’ get a new start

Early marriage can perpetuate a cycle of poverty among Nigerian girls. One nonprofit helps young brides and widows work toward self-sufficiency.

Ogar Monday
Abatang Favour addresses young women enrolled in Her Voice Foundation’s Empower Project in Becheve, Nigeria.
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At age 7, Atumoga Rose was abandoned by her parents in the compound of an older man from their Becheve tribal community in southeastern Nigeria’s remote Cross River state.

From that day, the two were considered married, and their sexual relationship began when Ms. Rose was about 14. She later discovered that when her mother was pregnant with her, her parents had received yams, a goat, and some money from the man.

Holding back tears, she says, “I was the payment.”

Now a widow in her mid-20s, Ms. Rose struggles to meet the basic needs of her two children with her meager income from a small plot of community land. “That’s about to change,” she says, her conviction accentuated by the clicking noise of her sewing machine.

Ms. Rose was among the most recent participants in the Empower Project, an initiative of Her Voice Foundation to help women who were wed in the illegal yet long-standing money marriage custom practiced by the Becheve people. Over four months, each cohort of women enrolled in the project learns skills such as tailoring or hairdressing.

Nigerian women in arranged ‘money marriages’ get a new start

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Atumoga Rose and three other young women are seated at sewing machines in a mud-walled shop with reams of scrap fabric strewn about the floor. They are working through basic sewing patterns under the watchful eyes of an older woman they call Auntie. As Ms. Rose slides a piece of fabric away from her machine using a pair of scissors, she flaunts her stitchwork to Auntie like a trophy. “I’ll be perfect soon,” she says with pride, while the other young women laugh in solidarity.

Afterward, Ms. Rose recounts her ordeal as a “money marriage” bride. At age 7, she was abandoned by her parents in the compound of an older man from their Becheve tribal community in southeastern Nigeria’s remote Cross River state. From that day, the two were considered married, and their sexual relationship began when Ms. Rose was about 14. She later discovered that when her mother was pregnant with her, her parents had received yams, a goat, and some money from the man.

Holding back tears, she says, “I was the payment.”

Now a widow in her mid-20s, Ms. Rose struggles to meet the basic needs of her two children with her meager income from a small plot of community land. “Every morning, I wake up worried about feeding my children and where to beg for help, but that’s about to change,” she says, her conviction accentuated by the clicking noise of her sewing machine.

Ms. Rose was among the most recent participants in the Empower Project, an initiative of Her Voice Foundation to help women who were wed in the illegal yet long-standing money marriage custom practiced by the Becheve people. Over four months, each cohort of women enrolled in the project learns skills such as tailoring or hairdressing.

“We choose in-demand skills to ensure continuous patronage and self-sufficiency,” explains Abatang Favour, who started the nonprofit foundation.

A tradition rooted in poverty

The Becheve people reside in 17 villages in the local district of Obanliku in Cross River state. Generations of Becheve girls have been used as collateral for loans or payment for debts in what are known as “money marriages.” Poverty is often cited as the primary driver behind the practice. More than 87 million Nigerians, or about 39% of the country, live below the poverty line.

Nigeria’s federal Child Rights Act of 2003 bans marriages under age 18, but not all states have adopted it or enforce it. While 44% of Nigerian girls are married before age 18, it is unknown exactly how many of them are in money marriages, because such unions don’t involve legal documentation. The prevalence of early marriage in the country overall allows money marriages among the Becheve community, often involving very young girls, to fly under the radar.

Ogar Monday
A young woman enrolled in the Empower Project tries her hand at sewing as her friends watch in Becheve, Nigeria.

Most of the girls don’t attend school and will bear children when they reach their teens. Even those who attend school usually end their studies early. Nigeria’s government estimates that 10% to 15% of the country’s 10 million out-of-school girls left school because of pregnancy.

Sunday Ichile, a traditional ruler in Becheve, says organizations such as Her Voice Foundation have guided the community to ban the arrangement of new money marriages and to impose punishments on offenders. But he adds that “Traditions take a long time to die.”

Mr. Ichile and other local rulers are revered as custodians of tribal cultures and traditions in Nigeria, and their decisions command respect in the community. Last year, with support from the United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women, Ms. Favour and her team held a town hall meeting with such rulers to raise awareness of the harms of money marriage. Although community leaders have urged the wives to return to their parental homes, most would not be welcome there because they lack resources to contribute to the household. The young women fear starting over with nothing.

“It’s like being lost in the bush,” says Akem Augustina, who trained with the Empower Project to become a hairstylist. “You must learn to do everything yourself.”

“I cannot remarry in the community, and I am seen as the property of my husband’s family,” she adds. After her husband died three years ago, Ms. Augustina became dependent on her brother-in-law for survival.

An activist by chance

In 2020, Ms. Favour was a university undergraduate on a holiday visit to her home district of Obanliku, which includes Becheve. She noticed many teen mothers at the clinic where her aunt, a nurse, worked.

“I asked questions, went to schools in the community, asked what was happening to girls,” Ms. Favour says. She found that not only were many girls dropping out because of pregnancy, but also “There was a poverty cycle that was being perpetrated due to this.”

Back on her university campus, Ms. Favour assembled five volunteers. “I told myself that even if it was just one girl I helped get back on track, that it would mean something,” she says.

The group supported teen mothers with counseling after receiving buy-in from community leaders in Obanliku. The team also spread its campaigns to high schools, educating students about the challenges of teen pregnancy. Ms. Favour leveraged social media to raise support for about 50 teen girls to go back to school.

While talking more with the teen mothers, Ms. Favour discovered that some of the pregnant girls, even those as young as 14 years old, had been sold off to older men for marriage. Ms. Favour’s group again promptly began campaigns within the community, winning the support of traditional rulers.

The team presented arguments for keeping girls in school, highlighting how money marriages hinder community progress. With the rulers’ support secured, the team did interviews with money marriage wives to assess their needs. To date, Her Voice Foundation has trained about 150 women.

The organization also provides crucial psychosocial support. “We understand the discrimination these girls face, and mental strength is essential for their success,” Ms. Favour says. To amplify the young women’s voices, Her Voice Foundation hosts a radio program in which teen mothers share their experiences and challenges.

A sense of achievement

Money marriage “has had a devastating impact on young girls, as many of them are depressed and suffer from low self-esteem,” says Moses Bassey, an official at the Cross River State Ministry of Women Affairs.

But he emphasizes that “The intervention of Her Voice Foundation is changing things.” He says the vocational training it provides can give young women a sense of achievement and allow them to take care of themselves and their children. He adds, “There is the need to remind the traditional leaders that the times are changing and they need to get on board or be left behind.”

Ms. Rose hopes for a fresh start because of her training in sewing. “I never had the opportunity of going to school,” she says. “I am going to learn this skill, make money from it, and send my children to school.”

Film

Grab your popcorn: Here are the 10 best films of 2024

This year offered no “Barbenheimer,” but there were still hundreds of films to keep our critic busy. His Top 10 list includes an animated delight, and dramas from around the world that consider the human condition – and what makes a life meaningful.

Sideshow and Janus Films
The Latvian film “Flow,” from writer-director Gints Zilbalodis, features animal survivors making their way in a postapocalyptic world.

Grab your popcorn: Here are the 10 best films of 2024

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This year was supposed to be a transitional year for movies. The aftermath of the pandemic, and the Hollywood labor strikes in 2023 that shut down production for months, promised a thin crop. And yet, as someone who sat through upward of 200 movies, I can attest that the year was anything but skimpy. Which is not to say there was a plethora of masterpieces, especially from the studios. But if you knew where to look – often in the independent, animation, documentary, and foreign-language realms – there were bounties to be had.

First, to answer the obvious question: No, there was no “Barbenheimer” phenomenon this year. The closest box office equivalent was the simultaneous release of “Wicked” and “Gladiator II” – dubbed “Glicked.” The good news is that, overall, theatrical movie attendance, though still lagging from prepandemic levels, ticked slightly upward. But it will take more than “event” movies to bring big-screen audiences back in droves. Right now the thinking in Hollywood – flush from the success of films like “Wicked,” “Inside Out 2,” “The Wild Robot,” and “Moana 2” – is that family-friendly entertainments are the way to go. Expect more of that next year. 

Also expect more sequels. In 2024, we witnessed the further exploits of apes, Jokers, bad boys, Beverly Hills cops, Beetlejuices, pandas, road warriors, transformers, and minions – not to mention twisters, dunes, and quiet places. I have nothing against sequels per se – “The Godfather Part II” and “Toy Story 3,” to cite two, are masterpieces. But the pile-on here underscores Hollywood’s pervasive lack of risk-taking.

Risk-taking often showed up, quite literally, with such on-the-ground documentaries as “No Other Land,” made by a Palestinian-Israeli collective, about the forced expulsion of Palestinians in the West Bank, and “Porcelain War,” one of many documentaries filmed inside war-torn Ukraine. Mohammad Rasoulof’s intense family drama “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” not a documentary, centers on Iranian judicial corruption. It was shot in secret, and the director is now escaping prison in exile.

Not all movies that broke away from the pack succeeded. And so, before we get to the Top 10 goodies, a few contrarian cavils. RaMell Ross’ acclaimed “Nickel Boys,” adapted from the Colson Whitehead novel about an abusive reform school for Black youths in Florida, struck me as a powerful subject done in by artsy overkill. Steve McQueen’s “Blitz,” set in London during the World War II bombing, was, especially for him, confoundingly conventional. Brady Corbet’s “The Brutalist,” about a visionary Hungarian architect in post-WWII America, features a powerful performance from Adrien Brody but, at 3 1/2 hours, is at least 45 minutes too long.

As for Francis Ford Coppola’s self-financed passion project “Megalopolis,” I admired the passion more than the project. And except for Ralph Fiennes, the stellar cast of the papal melodrama “Conclave” gorged the scenery.

Then there were the inevitable biopics: James Mangold’s “A Complete Unknown,” starring Timothée Chalamet as Bob Dylan, and Pablo Larraín’s “Maria,” starring Angelina Jolie as opera diva Maria Callas. These films mainly motivated me to watch the real deal.

And now, in alphabetical order, my Top 10 list, taken from movies that first opened, in theaters and/or online, in 2024:

A Real Pain – A road movie about two bickering cousins on a Holocaust history tour in Poland may not sound promising, but writer-director Jesse Eisenberg and his co-star, Kieran Culkin, transform what might have been a jokey jaunt into something resoundingly affecting. (Rated R)

All We Imagine as Light – Three women in Mumbai are observed with extraordinary empathy by writer-director Payal Kapadia. The prohibitions of Indian society are central to the narrative, but the film is so deeply felt that it never comes across like a political tract. Kapadia and her actors, most prominently Kani Kusruti, possess a rare gift for depicting the quotidian dailyness of life with surpassing grace. (Not rated; multiple languages with English subtitles)

Danielle Scruggs/Participant/Sony Pictures Classics/AP
In “We Grown Now,” set in 1990s Chicago, Malik (Blake Cameron James, at left) and Eric (Gian Knight Ramirez) explore worlds real and imagined.

Anora – Sean Baker’s sexually explicit, upside-down Cinderella story about an exotic dancer and the scion of a Russian oligarch runs the full emotional gamut from madcap to tragic without skipping a beat. The most sheerly entertaining movie of the year and the winner of the Palme d’Or at Cannes, that festival’s highest honor. (R; multiple languages with English subtitles)

Crossing – A retired schoolteacher, marvelously played by Mzia Arabuli, crosses into Istanbul from her village near the Black Sea in order to track down the transgender niece rejected by her family. Writer-director Levan Akin brings us into the byways of the marginalized without a trace of exploitation. (Not rated; multiple languages with English subtitles)

Flow – No animated movie was more imaginative or immersive than this wonder from Latvian director Gints Zilbalodis. Featuring a disparate crew of birds and animals and set in a wordless, postapocalyptic world without humans, it should enthrall adults every bit as much as children. (PG)

Green Border – Set in 2021 in the swampy, forested exclusion zone between Belarus and Poland, Agnieszka Holland’s film is charged with both a documentary-style immediacy and the richness of drama. The plight of refugees from the Middle East and Africa seeking asylum is brought home with unsparing force. (Not rated; multiple languages with English subtitles)

Hard Truths – Marianne Jean-Baptiste is reunited with her “Secrets & Lies” director Mike Leigh, and is both uproarious and lacerating as a deeply sad London housewife looking for succor. Michele Austin, as the consoling sister, matches her performance, in a very different key. It’s Leigh’s best film in years. (R)

I’m Still Here – Set in Brazil during a military dictatorship, Walter Salles’ slow-burn drama is based on the real-life story of a family whose patriarch is “disappeared” by the government in the 1970s. It’s a film about the necessity of challenging corruption, and showcases Fernanda Torres, in one of the year’s finest performances, as the wife who became an icon of resistance. (PG-13; Portuguese with English subtitles)

Kidnapped: The Abduction of Edgardo Mortara – The great Italian director Marco Bellocchio has been making marvels since the late 1960s, and this film is among his best. It’s based on the true story of a Jewish child in 1850s Italy who was secretly baptized by a chambermaid and then abducted by the papal police and raised Catholic. A transcendent film about belief and identity. (Not rated; Italian and Hebrew with English subtitles)

We Grown Now – Writer-director Minhal Baig, a first-generation Pakistani American, sets her sights on the friendship of two boys living in a dangerous Chicago housing project in 1992. The performances are superlative, and, despite the grimness of the setting, the film is awash with the wonderment of childhood. (PG)

Others very much worth tracking down include “Sugarcane,” “Sing Sing,” “Daughters,” “Dahomey,” “Saturday Night,” “Ernest Cole: Lost and Found,” “Emilia Pérez,” “Daddio,” “Nightbitch,” “Io Capitano,” “Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl,” “The Critic,” “Farewell Mr. Haffmann,” “Bad Faith,” “The Order, “September 5,” and “Memoir of a Snail.” 

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The Monitor's View

Equality is on Syria’s agenda

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Just a day after capturing Syria’s capital, the rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) felt compelled to issue a rule for its fighters: Do not interfere with “the right” of women “to choose their attire or appearance.”

Whether the Islamist group – with roots in Al Qaeda – sticks to the rule remains in doubt. In areas long under its control in northwest Syria, HTS has not put any women in high government positions.

Yet the timing was telling. To quickly unify a shattered nation after a half-century of dictatorship, HTS will need the support of Syrian women, whose views on gender equality have risen since the 2011 Arab Spring, the spread of social media, and 13 years of conflict and mass displacement.

“We’re not afraid of them,” said a nurse named Noor. “I don’t think they will force us to cover ourselves from head to toe.” And, she added, “They are from our country, they are not Islamic State.”

Another woman said, “I believe that the women and men are going to rebuild our country together and Syria will improve.”

In a 2024 opinion survey of the Middle East and North Africa, Arab Barometer found most people believe “having women in positions of political power advances women’s rights.”

Equality is on Syria’s agenda

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REUTERS
A woman takes a selfie with a fighter of the rebel group that ousted Syria's Bashar al-Assad, in Damascus, Dec. 12.

Just a day after capturing Syria’s capital Dec. 8, the rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) felt compelled to issue a rule for its fighters: Do not interfere with “the right” of women “to choose their attire or appearance.”

Whether the Islamist group – with roots in Al Qaeda – sticks to the rule remains in doubt. In areas long under its control in northwest Syria, HTS has not put any women in high government positions.

Yet the timing was telling. To quickly unify a shattered nation after a half-century of dictatorship, HTS will need the support of Syrian women, whose views on gender equality have risen since the 2011 Arab Spring, the spread of social media, and 13 years of conflict and mass displacement.

“We’re not afraid of them,” a nurse named Noor told the BBC. “I don’t think they will force us to cover ourselves from head to toe.” And, she added, “They are from our country, they are not Islamic State.”

Another woman said, “I believe that the women and men are going to rebuild our country together and Syria will improve.”

Syrian women have always been fighting for a space for themselves and won’t accept being pushed back, says Rim Turkmani, a researcher of the Syrian conflict at the London School of Economics. “And they’re not going to accept just lip service for representation,” she told CNN.

In a 2021 PBS interview, the HTS leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, said his style of rule will be Islamic, “but not according to the standards of [the Islamic State] or even Saudi Arabia.” Perhaps he has been following the women’s protests in Iran, Saudi Arabia, and a few other Muslim nations.

In a 2024 opinion survey of the Middle East and North Africa, Arab Barometer found most people believe “having women in positions of political power advances women’s rights.” Despite some backsliding, citizens across the region “are still largely supportive of moves towards gender equality.”

After the fall of the Assad regime Sunday, one Syrian woman, Shifaa Sawan, walked the streets of Damascus singing a famous protest song, “Janna, Janna Ya Watana” (“Heaven, Heaven, Our Country Is Heaven”). She told the news site Syria Direct that Syria is no longer a “republic of fear.”

“I hope that, in the new Syria, there will be freedom, dignity, justice and development.”

A Christian Science Perspective

About this feature

Each weekday, the Monitor includes one clearly labeled religious article offering spiritual insight on contemporary issues, including the news. The publication – in its various forms – is produced for anyone who cares about the progress of the human endeavor around the world and seeks news reported with compassion, intelligence, and an essentially constructive lens. For many, that caring has religious roots. For many, it does not. The Monitor has always embraced both audiences. The Monitor is owned by a church – The First Church of Christ, Scientist, in Boston – whose founder was concerned with both the state of the world and the quality of available news.

Need more time?

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We can always count on God for inspiration that helps us accomplish what we rightfully need to get done.

Need more time?

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Today's Christian Science Perspective audio edition

Who hasn’t felt, at some moment at home or at work, a need for more time? Perhaps we’ve felt harried, self-doubtful, or even desperate about mounting deadlines. An advertisement I saw recently advised that time is the only truly scarce resource, and therefore we need to mete it out wisely.

But is time really our ultimate need?

The Bible offers a different perspective. For instance, there’s the story of a man who’d been unable to walk for 38 years (see John 5:1-9). It was commonly believed that an angel periodically disturbed the water of a particular pool in Jerusalem, and that the first person to step into the pool after a disturbance was healed of any disease.

This man, like others, had been waiting at the pool for quite some time. Yet someone else always got into the water more quickly. He explained this to Jesus, who simply said to him, “Rise, take up thy bed, and walk.” The man was instantly healed.

So was the man’s healing dependent on having more time? Apparently not.

Mary Baker Eddy, the discoverer of Christian Science, defined “time” in part as “mortal measurements; limits, in which are summed up all human acts, thoughts, beliefs, opinions, knowledge,” and also wrote, “Time is a mortal thought ...” (“Science and Health with Key to the Scriptures,” pp. 595, 598).

What are mortal measurements to God, who is eternal Spirit? God could never be incapable of doing something because He lacked the time. The omnipotent, infinite Divine Being could never have limits or any element of mortality.

And as God’s children – His spiritual image and likeness – we could never lack something we need. As the reflection of our infinite Father-Mother God, Spirit, our capabilities are sustained by God, not dependent on mortal measurements, including time.

Mrs. Eddy made a clear distinction between man (a term that includes everyone) as the spiritual, eternal, perfect idea of God as described in the first chapter of Genesis, and the mortal, material, imperfect man suggested in the second chapter. They are antithetical; we cannot be both. The first description is good and true, representing our true nature – a fact that can be demonstrated through prayer to better understand what we really are as God’s children.

Once during a graduate exam I faced a computer programming problem that seemed impossible to code within the exam time left. This particular problem was worth 20% of the exam grade. I felt a bit frantic.

Yet I knew from past experience that pausing to pray would be time well spent. So I put down my pencil, closed my eyes, and prayed. It wasn’t a pleading prayer for God to grant me something, but a mental affirmation that as a child of God I express His qualities, including intelligence. That we have inherent dominion over supposed human limitations. That we cannot be separated from God, the one divine Mind. That God as Love doesn’t cause us to fail at what we need to do. That He treasures and cares for us.

As I prayed, an idea came to mind for a programming shortcut that would solve the problem much more quickly than the options I’d come up with earlier. I wrote the code, handed in my exam with some time to spare, and received full credit for that answer.

The lesson I learned was that what I needed the most wasn’t time, but inspiration – which I received quickly through prayer. The Bible says, “There is a spirit in man: and the inspiration of the Almighty giveth them understanding” (Job 32:8). Christian Science expands on this, showing how inspiration from Spirit replaces false beliefs about man as mortal and limited with an understanding of the true, spiritual man.

Instantly, always, God’s angels bring us the timeless truth about the eternal God and who we are as God’s spiritual offspring – Christly inspiration that impels healing.

Viewfinder

Big shoes to fill

Michael Probst/AP
Tourists pose in oversize and very colorful wooden Dutch clogs at the windmills museum of Zaanse Schans in Zaandijk, Netherlands, Dec. 11, 2024.
( The illustrations in today’s Monitor Daily are by Karen Norris. )

A look ahead

Thank you for joining us today. Please come back tomorrow for our story from Dominique and Scott in Syria. They’ll set the scene, sharing sights and voices from Damascus.

More issues

2024
December
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