2023
May
17
Wednesday

Monitor Daily Podcast

May 17, 2023
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Sometimes asking questions is as important – maybe even more important – than finding answers. This thought dates back at least to Socrates, and it’s been reflected in many a great teacher or thinker since.

This week Robert Lucas, a University of Chicago economist who died Monday, is being remembered by his peers as perhaps the most important economist of his generation – one who in some ways reframed the entire field of “macro,” researching the economy as a whole. 

Yet this Nobel laureate is nowhere near as famous as, say, his Chicago colleague Milton Friedman. And by many accounts, his prescriptions were often wrong as well as right. Even the phrase he’s most associated with – “rational expectations” – wasn’t original to him. Yet by raising a big question, and then more of them, he prompted others throughout the economics field to think in fresh ways. 

In a 1972 paper, he asked, in effect, whether a policy like expanding the money supply made sense if one doesn’t take into account the way people rationally adjust their expectations (and actions) as a result. If you think a policy will cause inflation but not much growth, for instance, you’ll behave accordingly. As a businessperson, you won’t go out and hire more workers.

He isn’t remembered as unlocking a formula for economic growth. But he was fascinated by the question of why some nations raise living standards for their people faster than others.

“I do not see how one can look at figures like these without seeing them as representing possibilities,” he wrote in a 1988 paper. “Is there some action a government of India could take that would lead the Indian economy to grow like Indonesia’s or Egypt’s? If so, what, exactly? If not, what is it about the ‘nature of India’ that makes it so? The consequences for human welfare involved in questions like these are simply staggering: Once one starts to think about them, it is hard to think about anything else.”

What became known as the “Lucas critique” of economic models has come in for its own critiques over time. But it’s still influential today. Dr. Lucas is a reminder that someone can make a difference just by posing questions that matter.


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Zohra Bensemra/Reuters
Sudanese refugees, who have fled the violence in their country, wait to receive food rations from World Food Program near the border between Sudan and Chad, in Koufroun, Chad, May 9, 2023.
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American whistleblower Edward Snowden is seen through a camera viewfinder as he delivers remarks via video link from Moscow to attendees at a discussion on privacy and surveillance in New York, Sept. 24, 2015.

Difference-maker

Courtesy of Mitch RIdder
Shadi Pourkashef (center) takes kindness to the streets as she leads Ability Awareness Project participants during a 2020 parade in Laguna Beach, California.
Glen Stubbe Photography/Courtesy of Children's Theatre Company
Becca Hart (Mama), Matthew Woody (Fievel), Luverne Seifert (Papa), and Lillian Hochman (Tanya) in the world premiere of "An American Tail The Musical," April 23, 2023, in Minneapolis.

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Afghan girls attend a class in an underground school, in Kabul, last year.

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President Joe Biden presents the Medal of Valor, the United States' highest honor for bravery by a public safety officer, to Patrick Thornton in the East Room of the White House, May 17, 2023. Mr. Thornton, a firefighter with New York City, was aboard a Fire Department vessel when he saved a man stuck under a capsized vessel near Staten Island. Nine people received the awards: three New York Police Department officers, two of whom were killed responding to a 911 call; a Houston police officer; a Colorado police official; a sheriff's deputy from Clermont County, Ohio; and three New York firefighters.
( The illustrations in today’s Monitor Daily are by Karen Norris. )

A look ahead

Thanks for joining us, and come back tomorrow for a story on new uses for big buildings. Two problems – a glut of office space and a shortage of affordable housing – could be eased by one solution: converting some commercial spaces for residential use.

More issues

2023
May
17
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